Even when markets are volatile and there is a lot of uncertainty, we would still make necessary decisionAt times, we might need to shift policy precisely because markets are volatileIt’s not as if we would hold off on changing policy just because markets are volatileAppropriate to keep monetary conditions accommodative and gradually raising interest rates towards neutralGood chance that underlying inflation will accelerate moderatelyExpects Japan’s consumer price inflation to stay below 2% for some period of timeBut even if headline inflation falls below 2%, we could raise interest rates if we judge that underlying inflation is accelerating towards our price targetTo keep things short, he’s mainly just leaving the door open for another rate hike either in March or April potentially. Typically, you would see the BOJ opt to play it safe more often than not. That especially when something as serious as the US-Iran conflict, which has major reverberations for markets in general.However, Himino surely realises that their timing window might be closing if they are to want to raise interest rates further this year. The central bank and the current board looks to be wanting to use the outcome of the spring wage negotiations as the launching platform for another rate hike. And if so, they might want to get a move on before Takaichi gets her way in adding two board members that could block that decision in the months ahead. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Market volatility is a double-edged sword, and here’s why it matters now: central banks are signaling a readiness to adjust policies in response to market conditions. This means traders need to stay sharp, as shifts in monetary policy can lead to rapid price movements across assets. If central banks decide to maintain accommodative monetary conditions, we could see risk assets rally, but any hint of tightening could trigger a sell-off. Look at the broader context—recent economic indicators suggest inflation remains a concern, which could force central banks to act sooner than expected. Traders should monitor key economic releases, especially inflation data, as these will likely influence central bank decisions. Pay attention to correlated markets like commodities and equities; a shift in policy could ripple through these sectors, impacting everything from gold prices to stock valuations. Here’s the flip side: while accommodative policies can support asset prices, they also risk creating bubbles. Traders should be cautious and consider potential downside risks if central banks pivot unexpectedly. Keep an eye on key technical levels in major indices and commodities to gauge market sentiment and potential reversals. 📮 Takeaway Watch for upcoming inflation data releases; a shift in central bank policy could impact risk assets significantly.

The early stages of the US-Iran conflict is seeing the US dollar and the Swiss franc among the more favoured currencies so far today. The Japanese yen typically has safen haven traits but has lost a lot of that allure in recent months. And now with oil prices swinging higher, that’s compounding woes as energy insecurity outweighs safe haven demand for the time being.The easy take is that higher oil prices just means a worsening and widening trade deficit for Japan. But drilling deeper, there’s also the case of cost push inflation seeping in as Japan heavily relies on energy imports. And cost push inflation is not the kind of inflation dynamic that the BOJ wants to see. In fact, it’s the total opposite.In terms of economic impact, Morgan Stanley MUFG estimates that a 10% spike in oil prices will shave around 0.1% off Japan’s real GDP. That also poses short-term stagflation risks to the economy.As such, all of the negatives seem to be outweighing the usual narrative of safe haven demand in the yen currency – one that has been weakening since the Takaichi trade took over anyway in October last year.This is now pushing USD/JPY up to the 157.00 level, hitting a three-week high. In the weeks prior, traders have been cautious not to overstep in fear of incurring the wrath of Tokyo officials. Now, it seems like we’re beginning to run up to test that boundary once more.It once again reaffirms that the path of least resistance for the yen at the moment is for a move lower. However, actual intervention by the Japan ministry of finance has the potential to at least shift things in the other direction.That being said, it might just only be for a temporary case – similar to what we saw in July 2024. By January 2025, USD/JPY nearly recovered all of the drop from the intervention (at 160.00) in moving back up to 159.00. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight The US dollar and Swiss franc are gaining traction amid rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions, and here’s why that matters: As the US-Iran conflict escalates, safe-haven currencies are in focus. The dollar’s strength reflects its status as a global reserve currency, while the Swiss franc benefits from its traditional safe-haven appeal. However, the Japanese yen’s recent decline in safe-haven status raises questions about its reliability in times of crisis. Traders should monitor how these currencies react to further developments in the conflict and oil price fluctuations. A sustained rise in oil could lead to inflationary pressures, impacting central bank policies and currency valuations. Look for key resistance levels in the dollar and franc against major pairs. If the dollar breaks above recent highs, it could signal further strength. Conversely, if the yen starts to regain its footing, it might indicate a shift in market sentiment. Keep an eye on geopolitical news and oil price trends, as they could trigger volatility across the forex market. 📮 Takeaway Watch for the US dollar’s resistance levels; a breakout could signal further strength amid rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions.

The Cashback Forex platform “UTSPAY” is now offering a special $40 Migration Bonus for traders who move their current cashback connection to the platform. In addition to this bonus, traders also earn cashback on every trade through a fxrebate system that returns part of the trading commission back to the user. This promotion gives traders a strong advantage from the start. It is designed for traders who already see the benefit of earning cashback and want a platform that offers clear tracking, fast rewards and better long term value. The service & promotion is available across Asia, including India, Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Laos.What is UTSPAY?UTSPAY is a cashback forex platform that makes trading more rewarding by giving traders cashback from their trading activity. The platform delivers fast and reliable payouts along with a user friendly dashboard that lets traders track their earnings with clarity and confidence. 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Guide to apply for the Triple Special Bonus from UTSPAY Create a UTSPAY account – Sign up on the Campaign Page created exclusively for the $40 bonus offer.Submit your previous cashback details – Provide information from your existing forex cashback platform.Link your broker account – Follow the instructions on the website to connect your trading account (MT4/MT5) to UTSPAY.Wait for approval and receive your $40 bonus – Once UTSPAY reviews and approves your submission, the bonus will start credited to your wallet.Start trading as usual – Cashback from every trade will be automatically calculated and added to your wallet. For traders using another cashback forex platform, this is an opportunity to make the change. Visit the campaign website, register, and start earning $40 and more cashback with UTSPAY.Start Earning Smarter with UTSPAY — Your New Cashback AdvantageMany traders focus on strategy but overlook the ongoing fees that come with every position. These small costs add up and slowly reduce overall performance. Cashback helps solve this by returning a portion of those fees, allowing traders to keep more of what they earn. Therefore, using UTSPAY provides traders with a real advantage. It boosts overall income through cashback on every trade, regardless of market conditions.The system runs automatically, updates earnings every day, and works with your current broker and trading style. With UTSPAY, each trade costs less and every lot gives extra value, making it easier to build stronger long term results with very little effort. With a simple connection, your account receives cashback on every trade you make, for as long as you remain active in the market. *To receive the Triple Special Bonus worth $40 for migrating your account, follow the instructions and read the details carefully. *If you don’t have a previous account on other cashback forex platforms, you can still get a $30 bonus and earn higher cashback from every trade with UTSPAY.For more information, please contact support@utspay.com This article was written by IL Contributors at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight UTSPAY’s $40 Migration Bonus could shake up the cashback landscape for forex traders. This initiative not only incentivizes traders to switch platforms but also highlights a growing trend in the forex market where cashback systems are becoming a key differentiator. With traders increasingly seeking ways to maximize their returns, this bonus could attract a significant number of users from competitors. If you’re currently using a cashback service, it might be worth evaluating the potential gains from migrating to UTSPAY. Keep an eye on how this affects trading volumes and user engagement on the platform. If UTSPAY can successfully convert users, we might see a ripple effect where other platforms feel pressured to enhance their offerings. Watch for any shifts in trading activity or promotional responses from competitors in the coming weeks, as these could indicate broader market trends or shifts in trader sentiment. 📮 Takeaway Monitor UTSPAY’s trading volumes and competitor responses over the next few weeks to gauge the impact of the $40 Migration Bonus.

Prior +0.1%; revised to +1.2%The drop here needs to be put into context a little more, as it comes after a major bump up in the December 2025 retail sales jump. That figure was seen revised from +0.1% to +1.2% on the month. So, the miss on estimates in the headline isn’t as bad as what it might imply at first glance.Looking at the details, the decline in January 2026 stems mostly from a fall in the non-food retail sector. Sales there fell by 1.7% on the month while food store sales were unchanged in real terms for the first month of the year. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Retail sales revisions are shaking up market expectations, and here’s why that matters: The recent revision of December 2025 retail sales from +0.1% to +1.2% indicates stronger consumer spending than previously thought. This could lead to a reassessment of economic growth forecasts, impacting everything from interest rates to stock valuations. If traders were banking on a slowdown, this data could force a rethink, particularly in sectors sensitive to consumer behavior, like retail and discretionary stocks. Look for potential volatility in these areas as market participants adjust their positions. However, the drop in the latest figures suggests that the momentum might not hold. If the current month’s data shows a significant miss, it could signal a broader slowdown, leading to a risk-off sentiment across markets. Traders should keep an eye on upcoming economic indicators, particularly consumer confidence and inflation metrics, as these will provide further clarity on the sustainability of consumer spending. Watch the key support levels in retail stocks; a break below recent lows could trigger further selling pressure. 📮 Takeaway Monitor upcoming consumer confidence data closely; a miss could signal broader economic weakness and impact retail stocks significantly.

Prior +0.3%UK house prices were seen steady, growing slightly again in February. That brings the average price of a dwelling in the UK to £273,176. The annual house price growth keeps unchanged as in January at +1.0%. Nationwide notes that:”This reinforces the view of a modest recovery after a dip at the end of 2025, most likely reflecting uncertainty around potential property tax changes ahead of the Budget. Nevertheless, the number of mortgages approved for house purchase remain close to the levels prevailing before the pandemic…Housing market activity is likely to recover in the coming quarters, especially if the improving affordability trend seen last year is maintained as expected.” This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight UK house prices are showing signs of stability, but here’s why that matters for traders: With February’s slight growth of +0.3%, the average dwelling price now sits at £273,176, maintaining an annual growth rate of +1.0%. This modest recovery could influence market sentiment, particularly in sectors tied to real estate, such as construction and home improvement stocks. Traders should keep an eye on how these figures might affect consumer spending and mortgage rates, which are crucial for the broader economy. If house prices continue to stabilize, we could see increased confidence among consumers, potentially leading to higher retail sales in the coming months. However, the flip side is that any signs of stagnation or decline could trigger a bearish sentiment, especially if inflation pressures persist. Watch for the upcoming economic indicators, particularly any changes in interest rates or employment data, as they could significantly impact housing demand and, by extension, related markets. The key levels to monitor are the £270,000 mark for support and £275,000 for resistance, as these could dictate short-term trading strategies. 📮 Takeaway Keep an eye on UK house prices around £273,176; any significant shifts could impact consumer confidence and related markets in the coming months.

There is just one to take note of for the day, as highlighted in bold below.That being for EUR/USD at the 1.1750 level. But on a day like this, the impact of any larger option expiries should be negated. This one keeps near to the current spot price but I would say that it will not come into play whatsoever.At the moment, traders and broader market players are all reacting to the US-Iran conflict. That’s the main driver of trading sentiment to start the week.The dollar is making a solid comeback in all of this, upending the recent narrative that it doesn’t do well as a hedge for safety these days. But in a time when markets still need dollars to settle their oil transactions and prices for the commodity is surging, being short dollars is not an enviable position.It’s all a short-term reaction but it is still one that needs to play out before we can focus on the bigger picture eventually.So, that’s the play at the moment as the dollar surges higher alongside commodities in a big, big flight to safety while stocks are slumping. That as market players likely expect this uncertainty and heightened geopolitical conflict to extend for a few weeks at least.For more information on how to use this data, you may refer to this post here.Head on over to investingLive (formerly ForexLive) to get in on the know! This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight EUR/USD is hovering around 1.1750, and here’s why that matters: this level could act as a crucial pivot point for traders. With larger option expiries not expected to disrupt the market today, the focus shifts to how price action behaves around this level. If we see a strong rejection or a breakout above 1.1750, it could signal a shift in momentum, potentially leading to a test of higher resistance levels. Conversely, a failure to hold this level might trigger selling pressure, dragging the pair back toward recent lows. Traders should keep an eye on volume and volatility as the day progresses. If the market remains stable, it could indicate consolidation before a breakout. However, if we see increased volatility, it might suggest that traders are positioning themselves ahead of upcoming economic data or geopolitical events. Watch for any news that could impact the Euro or the Dollar, as these could create unexpected moves around this key level. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the 1.1750 level in EUR/USD closely; a breakout or rejection here could dictate short-term trading strategies.

A Reuters source is reporting that Saudi Aramco’s Ras Tanura refinery, which is the largest oil refinery in the Middle East, was hit by a drone attack and forced to shut down as a precautionary measure. The source did note that the “situation is under control” though.However, the strike continues to highlight the kind of disruption that is hitting the oil market at the open. It’s not just all about the Strait of Hormuz. There’s tension and fears all over the region and oil refineries and tankers everywhere have to be mindful about the situation.I would say it still isn’t clear what is Iran’s playbook in all of this. You would expect them to hit back at countries with US presence but they seem to be just trying to create a disruption everywhere all at once. Is it all a ploy to try and cause enough chaos so that other countries in the region want the attacks, including those from the US and Israel, to stop? Perhaps.Oil prices remain elevated and have been coming up after a bit of profit taking in Asia trading earlier. WTI crude is now up nearly 8% on the day again at $72.68. With how much there was a premium in the run up to the conflict here in the weeks before, are we really going to see oil hit above $100? Keep a very, very close watch on the Strait of Hormuz situation.Again, you can catch these headlines instantaneously on our LiveBytes feed (to the right side of the live feed page): This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Saudi Aramco’s Ras Tanura refinery shutdown due to a drone attack is a big deal for oil traders right now. With this being the largest refinery in the Middle East, any disruption can ripple through global oil prices, especially if tensions escalate. Traders should keep an eye on Brent crude, which often reacts sharply to geopolitical events. If the situation worsens or if the shutdown lasts longer than expected, we could see prices push past key resistance levels. Currently, the market is already sensitive to supply issues, and this incident could exacerbate fears of tighter supply, especially as we head into winter months when demand typically rises. Watch for any updates on the refinery’s status and monitor the $90 per barrel level for Brent as a potential breakout point. If it holds above that, it could signal a bullish trend, but any signs of stabilization could lead to profit-taking in the short term. Traders should also consider the broader implications for related assets like energy stocks and ETFs, which might see increased volatility as the situation develops. 📮 Takeaway Monitor Brent crude around the $90 level; any sustained closure at Ras Tanura could push prices higher, while updates on the situation will be crucial.

In view of the current international situation, we are more prepared to intervene in currency marketsWe are ready to intervene in the FX market to dampen any rapid, excessive appreciation of the francThis was quite expected already in the weeks before. I highlighted that in a post here: US-Iran tensions most untimely for the SNBSo, that provides much of the backdrop needed to understand why the SNB is responding as they are above. As mentioned then:”The big question is where does the SNB draw the line next in terms of intervening to limit the franc strength? And how much are they willing to go up against market sentiment?”For now, EUR/CHF is starting to nudge closer towards the crucial 0.9000 mark with the low earlier today touching 0.9035. The pair is still down 0.4% to 0.9053 currently in spite of the SNB’s comments above. Is that where the SNB might draw a first line of defense? It seems like verbal intervention is the first step as seen above. So, we’ll see.Morgan Stanley is one to argue that there’s still further room to the downside though. However, just take note that this view was expressed on Friday last week, just before the US-Iran conflict escalated. The firm said that:”We think our 12m forecast of 0.87 in EUR/CHF stands in sharp contrast with consensus and market pricing. We estimate a decline of EUR/CHF to 0.87 over 12 months is only priced at about a 25% probability, for example. Meanwhile consensus forecasts place EUR/CHF modestly higher, not lower, over the next 1-2 years. This underpricing suggests CHF longs are attractively priced as a hedge for risk-oriented portfolios – and as a safe haven hedge against the risk of unexpected and large shocks. EUR/CHF shorts are attractive, in our view, and we continue to recommend short EUR/ CHF positions targeting 0.87.” This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight The Swiss National Bank’s readiness to intervene in the FX market is a big deal for traders right now. With rising tensions globally, particularly between the US and Iran, the potential for rapid appreciation of the Swiss franc could create volatility. Traders should be aware that any sudden moves in the franc could trigger SNB action, which historically has led to sharp reversals. This is especially relevant for those trading EUR/CHF or USD/CHF pairs, as these could be directly impacted. Keep an eye on the 1.05 level for EUR/CHF; a break below could prompt intervention. On the flip side, if the franc strengthens too quickly, it might signal a flight to safety, impacting risk assets like equities. So, while the SNB’s stance is clear, the broader implications for market sentiment and correlated assets could be significant. Watch for any statements from the SNB in the coming days, as they could provide further insight into their intervention strategy. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the EUR/CHF pair closely; a drop below 1.05 could trigger SNB intervention, impacting broader market sentiment.

Crude oil futures opened the new week with a sharp gap higher, reflecting a renewed geopolitical risk premium following weekend developments in the Middle East. Early trade has been volatile and two‑sided, with price discovery stretching across a wide intraday range (roughly $69.20 to $75.33 on the session data shown), before settling back into the low‑$70s.From a technical analysis perspective, the key takeaway is that the market has not simply “one‑way squeezed” higher. Instead, the gap has forced heavy two‑way trade, with multiple POC (point‑of‑control) clusters forming at prices that now matter as accept/reject zones for the rest of the day.Ongoing tensions in the Middle East reached a critical point on March 2, 2026, when Saudi Aramco’s Ras Tanura refinery was forced to shut down following a targeted drone strike. The facility, which serves as one of the world’s most vital energy hubs, was hit by what reports identify as an Iranian Shahed-136 drone, leading to a small, isolated fire that was quickly brought under control. While no casualties or major structural damage were reported, the precautionary closure of the plant caused immediate ripples through the global economy, sending crude oil prices up by 8% in early Monday trading. This attack on Saudi energy infrastructure comes amid a broader regional escalation, including strikes on shipping near the Strait of Hormuz, highlighting the growing volatility affecting international trade and energy security.Crude oil futures technical analysis: What the technical analysis is saying (4H + 1H read)Current 4H view: The opening sequence shows very heavy participation and wide ranges: Typical of a headline gap where liquidity is thin and price is forced to auction quickly through prior value. Even where delta is not uniformly bullish, the presence of large POC clusters suggests real business being done, not just a “thin pop.”Current 1H view: After the initial volatility, subsequent 1H bars show improving buy-side control (more positive delta and rising value/POC), consistent with a market trying to accept higher prices rather than immediately mean‑revert the gap.The practical implication: this is still a headline-driven tape, but our technical analysis at investingLive.com suggests there is meaningful participation supporting the move, as long as key POC support levels hold.Key levels for traders and investors1) Immediate resistance (where momentum needs acceptance)$73.00: A psychological and structural pivot. Acceptance above $73 (holding, not just tagging) keeps the upside pressure intact.$75.33: The session high shown. If the market re-tests this zone, watch whether volume expands and delta stays constructive (breakout) or whether you see heavy two‑way trade and fading delta (rejection).2) First support zone (bull case “must hold” area)$71.12 (POC cluster): This is the most important near-term reference. If price rotates down, this is the first level where buyers need to show they can defend value.Holding $71.12 and rebuilding positive delta = constructive consolidation.Losing $71.12 with expanding sell imbalance = rising odds of a deeper retracement.3) Gap-risk / mean-reversion magnets$69.20: Session low shown. A move back into this zone would indicate the market is no longer accepting higher prices and is attempting to repair/close the gap.$67.12 (pre-gap POC cluster): This is the key “pre‑event” anchor you referenced. If the gap fully fails, this becomes a high-probability magnet because it represents prior heavy trade/value before the weekend repricing.Crude oil futures technical analysis scenarios to watch today (02 March, 2026)Scenario A: Continuation / acceptance higherPrice holds above $71.12, rotates around $73, and POC migrates upward.Traders will watch for a clean acceptance above $73.00 as a gateway to re-test the $75.33 high.Scenario B: Volatile consolidationWide two‑way trade persists between roughly $71–$73.Best read is whether we later today (or this week) see buyers absorbing pullbacks (constructive) or sellers absorbing rallies near $73 (warning sign).Scenario C: Gap fade / retracementA decisive breakdown below $71.12 shifts focus to $69.20, with $67.12 as the deeper “pre-gap value” magnet if the gap fully unwinds.Bottom line: The market is repricing fast, but the technical analysis suggests key value is being established rather than purely “air‑pocket” trading. For today, $71.12 is the pivotal support, while $73.00 and $75.33 define the upside acceptance/rejection zones.Risk note: headline-driven energy markets can move sharply in both directions; sizing and stop discipline matter more than precision levels. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Crude oil’s sharp gap higher signals heightened geopolitical tensions, and here’s why that matters for traders: With ADA currently at $0.27, the volatility in crude oil could spill over into crypto markets, especially if energy prices continue to rise. Traders should keep an eye on the correlation between oil prices and ADA, as rising energy costs can impact mining operations and overall market sentiment. The intraday range of $69.20 to $75.33 indicates significant volatility, which could lead to trading opportunities for those looking to capitalize on price swings. Watch for any breakout above $75.33, which could trigger further bullish sentiment, while a drop below $69.20 might signal a reversal. But don’t overlook the potential for a pullback. If geopolitical tensions ease, we could see a rapid correction in oil prices, which might negatively impact ADA as well. Monitoring the news for any developments in the Middle East will be crucial, as this could dictate market movements in the coming days. Keep your charts ready and watch those key levels closely. 📮 Takeaway Watch for crude oil prices to break above $75.33 or drop below $69.20, as these levels could influence ADA’s price action significantly.

Prior 49.2That’s a slight improvement to the January estimate, as production levels were seen broadly stable in February. That being said, the order books declined for a third straight month albeit at a slower rate at least. On the price front, Spanish manufacturers saw another steep rise in input prices with the rate of inflation edging up from the start of the year to a 13-month high. So, that’s something to be wary about.HCOB notes that:“Spain’s manufacturing sector continues to struggle to gain traction. Following two slight declines in December and January, the current headline PMI reading of 50 signals stagnation, suggesting that the manufacturing sector entered this winter with less momentum than during large parts of the previous year. This becomes particularly evident when looking at the demand‑related sub‑indices: production is softening, orders are declining, and foreign markets have not provided any stimulus for several months. Companies attribute the latter largely to the effects of the U.S. trade shock and the strong euro. “It appears as if the weakness observed in Germany, France, and Italy over the past two to three years is now beginning to reach Spain’s industrial sector as well. A sector that had until now displayed considerably more resilience thanks to broad energy diversification and relatively low dependence on the United States. “Muted market conditions are also reducing overall workloads for employees. Due to weaker sales conditions and lower production requirements, firms have increasingly refrained from replacing departing staff. Hiring willingness has now been declining for six consecutive months. “In terms of price dynamics, the Spanish manufacturing sector shows signs of normalisation. Input prices have risen amid higher costs for various raw materials. Firms appear to have passed these cost increases on to customers through their output prices. Both price indices, however, have for some time been stabilising around their historical average levels.” This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Manufacturing output in Spain is stabilizing, but order book declines raise red flags. The slight improvement in production levels is encouraging, yet the ongoing drop in order books for three consecutive months suggests underlying weakness. Traders should be cautious; this could indicate a slowdown in future manufacturing activity, impacting related sectors and potentially leading to volatility in associated assets like EUR/USD. The rise in input prices also signals inflationary pressures that could affect profit margins, making it crucial to monitor how manufacturers adjust pricing strategies in response. Keep an eye on key technical levels in the EUR/USD pair, particularly if it approaches recent support or resistance zones. If the trend continues, we might see shifts in market sentiment that could lead to broader implications across the Eurozone economy. Watch for upcoming economic data releases that could provide further insights into this trend, especially any indicators related to consumer demand or export levels. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the EUR/USD pair closely; a break below key support levels could signal deeper market concerns about manufacturing stability.