The Australian Dollar (AUD) skyrocketed to near a two-week high after a hotter-than-expected January inflation report, fueling speculation of additional rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight The AUD’s surge signals a pivotal moment for traders: inflation data is driving rate hike speculation. With the Australian Dollar nearing a two-week high, traders should consider how this impacts their positions. A hotter-than-expected inflation report often leads to tighter monetary policy, which could push the RBA to raise rates sooner than anticipated. This scenario can create volatility in both the AUD and related markets, such as commodities and equities tied to the Australian economy. Watch for key resistance levels around recent highs, as a break could trigger further bullish momentum. However, it’s worth noting that the market can overreact to inflation data. If subsequent reports show a cooling trend, the AUD could reverse sharply. Keep an eye on upcoming economic indicators and RBA commentary for clues on future rate decisions. The immediate focus should be on the AUD’s performance against major pairs, particularly the USD, as traders assess the likelihood of sustained strength in the currency. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the AUD’s resistance levels closely; a break could signal further gains, but watch for potential reversals if inflation trends shift.
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Clears key resistance, aims towards 212.00
The GBP/JPY rallies for the second straight day, up by over 0.80% as Yen weakness extends, as the Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi nominates two slightly “dovish” academics to the Bank of Japan’s board. The cross trades at 211.94, slightly below the day’s high of 212.12. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight The GBP/JPY’s recent rally signals a shift in sentiment, and here’s why that matters: With the pair up over 0.80% and trading at 211.94, the Yen’s continued weakness is a direct response to the Japanese government’s dovish stance. The nomination of two dovish academics to the Bank of Japan’s board suggests a commitment to maintaining loose monetary policy, which could further devalue the Yen. This dovish outlook not only supports the GBP/JPY but could also lead to increased volatility in other Yen pairs. Traders should keep an eye on the 212.12 resistance level; a breakout could trigger further bullish momentum. Conversely, if the market reacts negatively to any unexpected economic data from the UK, we could see a quick reversal. It’s worth noting that while the GBP is gaining, the broader economic context, including inflation data and central bank policies, will play a crucial role in sustaining this trend. Watch for any comments from the Bank of Japan or UK economic indicators that could shift this dynamic. The immediate focus should be on the 212.12 level for potential breakout trades, while also considering the risk of a pullback if the Yen finds support. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the 212.12 resistance level on GBP/JPY; a breakout could lead to further gains, but watch for UK economic data that might reverse the trend.
BRL: Rebalancing risks build as carry crowded – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that Brazilian assets, including the BRL and IBOVESPA, have attracted strong inflows in February 2026, leaving total exposure stretched. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Brazilian assets are seeing a surge in interest, and here’s why that matters right now: Strong inflows into the Brazilian real (BRL) and the IBOVESPA index signal a bullish sentiment among investors. This uptick could be driven by Brazil’s improving economic indicators and potential interest rate adjustments. For traders, this means monitoring the BRL closely—if it breaks resistance levels, we could see a further rally. However, with total exposure now stretched, there’s a risk of a pullback if sentiment shifts. Keep an eye on global market conditions, as any turbulence could impact these inflows. On the flip side, while the current trend looks positive, overexposure could lead to volatility. If you’re holding positions in Brazilian assets, consider setting stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses. Watch for key economic releases from Brazil that could influence the BRL and IBOVESPA, particularly any changes in monetary policy or inflation data. The next few weeks will be crucial for determining whether this momentum can be sustained. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the BRL and IBOVESPA for potential breakouts, but be cautious of overexposure and set stop-loss orders to manage risk.
Nvidia beats Q4 consensus, hikes guidance, stock up 3% afterhours
Nvidia (NVDA) beat the Wall Street consensus for fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 results after the market close on Wednesday. NVDA stock rose more than 3% following the news. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Nvidia’s earnings beat is more than just a headline—it’s a signal for tech traders. With NVDA stock jumping over 3%, this could indicate renewed bullish sentiment in the semiconductor sector, especially as AI demand continues to surge. Traders should keep an eye on how this performance affects related stocks like AMD and Intel, which may react to Nvidia’s momentum. The broader market context shows that tech stocks are often sensitive to earnings reports, and a strong performance from a leader like Nvidia can set the tone for the entire sector. Watch for NVDA to hold above key support levels, as a sustained rally could lead to further gains. However, it’s worth noting that while the immediate reaction is positive, the market’s longer-term outlook remains clouded by macroeconomic factors like interest rates and inflation. If NVDA retraces, it could test previous resistance levels, providing a potential buying opportunity for swing traders. Keep an eye on the next earnings cycle and any guidance from Nvidia that could impact future trading strategies. 📮 Takeaway Watch NVDA closely; if it maintains above key support levels, it could signal further bullish momentum in tech stocks, particularly in semiconductors.
China: Two Sessions set 2026 growth path – TD Securities
TD Securities analysts expect Premier Li to unveil a 4.5–5.0% GDP target range for 2026 at the Two Sessions, alongside a broad budget deficit near 9% of GDP. Policymakers are seen prioritizing domestic demand, with continued targeted consumer stimulus. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight China’s GDP target of 4.5–5.0% for 2026 is a signal for traders: it suggests a focus on domestic demand and potential volatility in related markets. A broad budget deficit near 9% of GDP indicates that the government is willing to inject liquidity to stimulate growth. This could lead to increased spending in sectors like consumer goods and infrastructure, which might benefit stocks in those areas. However, keep an eye on the yuan’s performance against the dollar; if the deficit raises concerns about fiscal sustainability, we could see depreciation in the yuan, impacting forex traders. The 4.5–5.0% target also sets a lower bar for expectations, meaning any deviation could lead to sharp market reactions. For traders, monitoring the upcoming Two Sessions for specific policy announcements will be crucial. Look for any hints on stimulus measures or fiscal policies that could affect market sentiment. The immediate focus should be on how these developments impact the Chinese stock market and the yuan, especially if the budget deficit raises eyebrows among investors. 📮 Takeaway Watch for Premier Li’s announcements at the Two Sessions; any surprises could trigger volatility in Chinese stocks and the yuan.
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Skyrockets past 111.00 on hot Aussie CPI
The AUD/JPY rallies over 1.20% on Wednesday, after an inflation report in Australia prompted investors to price additional rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). At the time of writing, the cross trades at 111.38. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight The AUD/JPY’s 1.20% rally signals strong market sentiment following Australia’s inflation report, which is crucial for traders to note. With the cross currently at 111.38, the expectation of further rate hikes from the RBA could bolster the Aussie, especially as traders react to the potential for tighter monetary policy. This move aligns with broader trends in the forex market where central bank actions are increasingly influencing currency valuations. Keep an eye on the 111.50 resistance level; a break above could trigger further bullish momentum. Conversely, if inflation fears ease, we might see a pullback. It’s also worth considering the implications for related pairs, like AUD/USD and JPY/USD, which could experience correlated movements. If the RBA does follow through with rate hikes, expect increased volatility in these pairs as market participants adjust their positions. Watch for any upcoming economic data releases that could sway sentiment, particularly those related to inflation or employment figures in both Australia and Japan. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the 111.50 resistance level in AUD/JPY; a break could lead to further gains as rate hike expectations solidify.
USD/THB: BOT cut tempers Baht strength – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports USD/THB has bounced from key support at 31.00 after the Bank of Thailand unexpectedly delivered a second consecutive 25 bps rate cut to 1.00%. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight The USD/THB bounce off 31.00 signals a critical moment for traders: With the Bank of Thailand’s unexpected rate cut to 1.00%, the Thai baht is under pressure, but this support level could be a pivotal point for short-term trading strategies. A bounce here suggests potential for a retracement, especially if USD strength persists amid global economic uncertainties. Traders should watch for confirmation of this support level; a sustained move above 31.20 could indicate bullish momentum, while a drop below 31.00 might trigger further selling pressure. It’s worth noting that the market’s reaction to the rate cut could ripple through other emerging market currencies as well, potentially affecting pairs like USD/IDR or USD/MXN. Keep an eye on economic indicators from the U.S. that could influence USD strength, as any positive data could amplify the USD’s gains against the baht. The next few days will be crucial for determining whether this support holds or if traders should brace for a deeper correction. 📮 Takeaway Watch the 31.00 support level closely; a break could lead to increased volatility in USD/THB, while a bounce could signal a short-term buying opportunity.
Gold gains above $5,150 as US tariff uncertainty drive demand, eyes on US-Iran talks
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades with mild gains near $5,165 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by escalating geopolitical tensions between the United States (US) and Iran and ongoing uncertainty regarding US tariff policies. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Gold’s recent gains near $5,165 reflect rising geopolitical tensions and tariff uncertainties, and here’s why that matters for traders: With the US-Iran situation heating up, gold often acts as a safe haven, attracting investors looking to hedge against market volatility. This rally could signal a shift in sentiment, especially as traders digest potential impacts on broader markets. If tensions escalate, we might see gold push higher, potentially testing resistance levels that could lead to further gains. Keep an eye on the $5,200 mark as a key psychological level. On the flip side, if diplomatic efforts ease tensions, we could see a quick pullback. For those trading gold, monitoring the news cycle around US-Iran relations and tariff discussions will be crucial. A sudden shift in sentiment could lead to rapid price movements. Watch for any announcements that could influence market perception, as they might trigger significant volatility in the short term. 📮 Takeaway Traders should watch the $5,200 resistance level closely; geopolitical developments could drive gold prices higher or trigger a pullback.
BoJ’s Ueda says rate hikes to continue if outlook materializes
Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Thursday that the the basic stance is to continue raising interest rates if the likelihood of our economic, price forecasts materialising heightens. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight BoJ’s commitment to rate hikes could shake up forex markets, especially JPY pairs. Ueda’s remarks signal a potential shift in Japan’s monetary policy, which traders need to monitor closely. If the BoJ raises rates, it could strengthen the yen against major currencies like the USD and EUR, impacting cross-border trade and investment flows. Keep an eye on the USD/JPY pair; a break above recent resistance levels could indicate a bullish trend for the yen. Conversely, if the market doubts the BoJ’s resolve, we might see a short-term sell-off in JPY assets. The real story here is the broader implications for global markets. If Japan tightens while other central banks remain dovish, we could see capital flows favoring the yen, affecting commodities and equities tied to Japanese exports. Watch for economic data releases that could influence Ueda’s stance, particularly inflation metrics in the coming weeks. 📮 Takeaway Monitor USD/JPY closely; a rate hike could strengthen the yen, impacting forex positions significantly.
Nvidia delivers another monster earnings report, and forecasts big things to come
It was another monster earnings report from Nvidia for fiscal Q4. Revenues were $68.1bn, smashing estimates of $65bn. Gross profit margin was a healthy 75%, up from 73.5% in the prior quarter, and the outlook for this quarter was monstrous. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Nvidia’s earnings beat is a game changer for tech stocks and the broader market. With revenues hitting $68.1 billion, significantly above the $65 billion estimate, this performance signals strong demand for AI and gaming technologies. The gross profit margin increase to 75% from 73.5% indicates operational efficiency and pricing power, which could inspire confidence in other tech firms. Traders should watch how this impacts related sectors, especially semiconductor stocks and AI-focused companies, as Nvidia often sets the tone for the industry. If Nvidia’s momentum continues, it could lead to a bullish trend in tech stocks, potentially pushing the Nasdaq higher in the coming weeks. However, keep an eye on the broader market sentiment; if inflation concerns resurface, it might dampen enthusiasm. A contrarian view suggests that while Nvidia’s growth is impressive, the stock may be overbought, and profit-taking could occur. Traders should monitor key technical levels, particularly if Nvidia approaches its recent highs. Watch for any signs of weakness or a pullback, which could present buying opportunities for those looking to enter at lower levels. 📮 Takeaway Watch Nvidia’s stock closely; a break above recent highs could signal further gains, but be prepared for potential profit-taking if market sentiment shifts.