Bitcoin and Ether futures cool off after the rebound as traders watch key acceptance zonesBitcoin futures (BTC1!) and Ether futures (ETH1!) are both in a “pause after the push” phase. The daily charts still reflect a rebound attempt that is stalling under overhead supply, while the 4H footprint view adds an important layer: the market is not panicking, it is rotating into balance and waiting for the next catalyst.This is not financial advice. It is educational decision support based on price action and order flow style footprint behavior. But, first, the backdrop affecting crypto now. And, remember, everyone was watching the earnings of the biggest stock in the world last night (and wanted to see how this might affect ‘risk on’ or ‘risk off’ sentiment, that could trickle down to crypto as well).The recent market volatility has been characterized by sharp technical corrections and equally swift recoveries, particularly as Bitcoin rips to $68,000 in a quick turnaround following a dip to the $62,500 level. This rebound is viewed by many as a signal that the broader risk trade remains intact, especially as some are already buying the contrarian dip in crypto to capitalize on what appears to be a flushing out of overleveraged positions rather than a fundamental breakdown. This resilience in digital assets is mirroring the tech sector, where Nvidia’s Huang says markets misjudge AI threat as revenue and guidance smash forecasts, providing a massive fundamental backstop to the AI and infrastructure narrative. However, the early market reaction shows that the bar for Nvidia may have gotten even higher, suggesting that “pricing for perfection” is now the baseline, leaving little room for error as geopolitical and trade uncertainties linger.When you look at the raw data against this chaotic macroeconomic backdrop, it’s clear digital assets are sitting at a massive crossroads right now. Bitcoin CME Futures are currently hovering right around $68,185, pulling back a bit by 1.91%, or roughly $1,330, on the day. If you’re watching the charts today, the immediate range is pretty tight, you’ve got support holding near the daily low of $67,965 and resistance capping things off around the session high of $69,195.But to really understand the technical setup, you have to zoom out. Sure, we’re seeing a spark of short-term momentum with a 3.11% pop over the last week, but that little victory is fighting against a brutal longer-term downtrend. We’re still down 23% year-to-date and nursing a painful nearly 40% drop over the last six months (!). When you compare this recent weekly bounce to those heavy multi-month losses, especially considering we’re miles away from the 52-week high of $127,240, it becomes obvious just how critical these current price levels are. The big question now is whether this is just a fleeting relief rally, or the actual groundwork for a real, sustained reversal.Ethereum’s 20% Surge Activates a Major Bull Flag — Now the Real Test BeginsEthereum is stealing the spotlight right now, officially outpacing Bitcoin yesteraday after an explosive rally that sent prices soaring roughly 20% since Thursday morning. Looking at the 1-hour Ether Futures chart, the technical setup is incredibly compelling: the price successfully broke out of its lengthy descending channel, decisively activating a textbook bull flag. Currently trading around the $2,061.0 mark following a minor intraday pullback, the mission for buyers is crystal clear. Bulls absolutely must step up and defend the upper boundary of this previously broken flag, turning former resistance into new support. If they can successfully hold this line, the bullish technical narrative remains completely intact, paving the way for the market’s next leg up. But bulls can not fully celebrate yet and I explain why below.The daily view: rebound energy is fading into consolidationBitcoin futures daily: rebound, then hesitationOn the daily timeframe, BTC looks like it successfully defended a downside extension, then ran into supply and began to stall. That usually means one of two things:The market is building a base to continue higherThe rebound was mostly short-covering and it will fade once buyers stop pressingThe key daily takeaway is simple: the bounce happened, but the market still needs proof that it can reclaim and hold higher prices rather than just tag them.Ether futures daily: similar story, slightly weaker postureETH is in the same “rebound then pause” regime, but with a slightly more fragile feel because it is repeatedly reacting around a psychologically important area near $2,000. When a market hovers around a major round number after a rebound, it tends to behave like a magnet. It pulls price in both directions until one side finally wins acceptance.Educational note: round numbers like $2,000 and $70,000 are not magic, but they attract liquidity. That liquidity can amplify fakeouts and fast moves.The 4H footprint view: what the market is saying right nowWhen you zoom into the 4H footprint sequence, you can see the “story of effort vs result” more clearly.BTC 4H: push, rejection, then low-delta chopBTC printed a clean expansion higher, then got hit with a meaningful response sell bar. After that, the more recent bars show very small delta and smaller participation. That often means:Sellers took a shot and did not immediately get follow-throughBuyers are not aggressively lifting offers eitherThe market is rotating into balance, not trendingEducational note: low delta during sideways price action is often a “wait state.” The next break can be sharp because liquidity builds up while participation looks quiet.ETH 4H: rejection had more teeth, stabilization attempt followsETH also had the impulse higher, but its rejection bar looks more forceful and the stabilization is less convincing. The good news for bulls is that sell pressure appears to cool after the rejection. The challenge is that ETH still needs to reclaim overhead zones to prove that the rebound is turning into continuation.Educational note: a strong rejection followed by shrinking negative delta is a common early stabilization pattern. It is not a reversal signal by itself. It is a “pressure is reducing” signal that still needs confirmation from price acceptance.Key zones traders keep reacting to (why they
EURUSD stays rangebound as focus turns to US-Iran talks and the NFP report
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEWUSD:The US dollar continues to bounce around potentially due to some uncertainty around tariffs after the US Supreme Court ruled against the previous levies. It’s pretty clear at this point that tariffs are here to stay as Trump reimposed them using different laws. Overall, not much has changed.The price action remains mostly rangebound as traders await new catalysts and further developments to pick a direction. The real risks remain a potential US-Iran military escalation which could boost the greenback on severe risk-off mood or a hawkish repricing on stronger US data which would have a positive effect on the USD. Fed’s Waller placed a great deal on next week’s NFP report. EUR:On the EUR side, nothing has changed. As a reminder, the ECB held interest rates steady as widely expected at the last meeting and kept the same data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting guidance. The policymakers have eased the rhetoric on the euro recently after the currency dropped below the 1.20 level against the dollar. The focus remains on inflation as the central bank has repeatedly stated that it won’t respond to small or short-term deviations from the 2% target. The data for now has been positive with economic activity picking up and core inflation hovering just a bit above target.EURUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – DAILY TIMEFRAMEOn the daily chart, we can see that EURUSD is consolidating around the 1.18 handle as traders await new catalysts to pick a direction. From a risk management perspective, the sellers will have a better risk to reward setup around the 1.1927 level to position for a drop into the 1.16 handle next. The buyers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking above that level to open the door for a rally into new cycle highs.EURUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 4 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 4 hour chart, we can see more clearly the rangebound price action between a few support and resistance zones. The buyers will likely step in around the 1.1807 support with a defined risk below it to extend the rally into the 1.1850 resistance. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break lower to pile in for a drop into the 1.1750 support next.EURUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 1 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 1 hour chart, there’s not much else we can add here as the buyers will look for a bounce around the support, while the sellers will look for a break lower. The red lines define the average daily range for today. UPCOMING CATALYSTSToday we have the third round of US-Iran nuclear talks and the latest US Jobless Claims figures. Tomorrow, we conclude the week with the German CPI and the US PPI data. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight The US dollar’s volatility reflects ongoing tariff uncertainties, and here’s why that matters right now: With the Supreme Court’s ruling against previous levies, traders are left navigating a complex landscape where tariffs are still in play, albeit under different legal frameworks. This could lead to increased inflationary pressures, impacting consumer spending and economic growth. For forex traders, the dollar’s fluctuations could create opportunities, especially against currencies from economies less affected by tariff-related issues. Watch for key resistance levels in the dollar index; a break above those could signal a stronger dollar, while failure to hold could lead to a sell-off. But don’t overlook the potential ripple effects on commodities and emerging market currencies. If the dollar strengthens, commodities priced in USD could face downward pressure, affecting everything from gold to oil. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases that could influence the dollar’s direction, particularly inflation reports and employment figures. The next few weeks could be pivotal for positioning in both forex and commodity markets. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the dollar index for key resistance levels; a break could signal further strength, impacting commodities and emerging markets significantly.
Dollar on the rocks but may stay supported through month-end – Credit Agricole
It’s nice to wrap up the trading week with it being the final day of the month. And interestingly enough, did you realise that the March calendar is a repeat of February (only with the additional 3 days). In February trading, the dollar has been rather resilient after struggling towards the end of last year. However, the mood has been a bit shaky in the second half of the month.Geopolitical uncertainty and trade policy uncertainty are two big issues that are plaguing the greenback. No thanks to the erratic policy handling by the US administration of course. And that’s keeping precious metals underpinned amid the continued currency debasement narrative since last year.As for the dollar itself, that is putting the currency on the rocks as it looks vulnerable to a renewed drop heading into March. But in closing out February trading, Credit Agricole argues that the dollar could find support from month-end flows in at least holding its head above water in the final few days here.”On the structural side, concerns about rebalancing out of the US remain a drag on the USD and support EUR/USD. The latest spike of US trade policy risks seems to support the bearish USD-view as FX investors shun the US policy and economic uncertainty. In addition, valuation concerns erode the appeal of USD assets.That said, we also note that the more recent USD recovery has coincided with US stock market weakness. This may suggest that the USD is benefitting from the unwinding of short-USD hedges that foreign investors have put into place. Our month-end rebalancing model predicts that they will continue to buy USD this week.”Just something to take note of as we move into the closing stages of the week in the next two days. In particular, just be wary of any volatility bouts when we get to the London fix especially. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight As we close out the month, traders should pay close attention to the dollar’s resilience, especially given its performance in February. This month mirrored February’s trading calendar, which could suggest a continuation of trends we’ve seen recently. If the dollar maintains its strength, it could impact forex pairs significantly, especially those involving the euro and yen, which have shown volatility in response to U.S. economic data. Look for key resistance levels in the dollar index; if it breaks above recent highs, we might see further bullish momentum. Conversely, if it falters, it could trigger a sell-off in related assets. The market’s reaction to upcoming economic indicators will be crucial—watch for any shifts in sentiment that could affect trading strategies. Keep an eye on the next few days as they could set the tone for the first week of March, particularly with any unexpected news that could sway the dollar’s strength. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the dollar index closely; a break above recent highs could signal further bullish momentum, impacting major forex pairs.
We continue to expect inflation to stabilise at our 2% target in the medium-term – Lagarde
We can now see that our efforts to bring inflation down have been effectiveWe continue to expect inflation to stabilise at our 2% target in the medium-termWe therefore decided to keep key ECB interest rates unchanged at our monetary policy meeting earlier this monthWe will continue to follow a data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting approach to determining the appropriate monetary policy stanceOur interest rate decisions will be based on our assessment of the inflation outlook and the risks surrounding itWe are not pre-committing to a particular interest rate pathThe ECB pays close attention to households’ inflation perceptionsInflation perceptions matter for three reasonsFirst, perceptions directly influence economic behaviourSecond, perceptions of current inflation shape expectations about future inflationThird, inflation perceptions can influence public trust in institutions – including the ECBFull transcriptThere’s nothing in her speech that really stands out from what has already been communicated before this. The ECB remains on the sidelines and are not yet in a position to pre-commit to moving just yet. As things stand, markets are also not pricing in any rate changes by the central bank for the whole of this year. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight The ECB’s decision to hold interest rates steady signals confidence in their inflation strategy, but it’s a double-edged sword for traders. With inflation expected to stabilize at 2%, traders should be wary of how this impacts the euro against other currencies. A stable inflation outlook could strengthen the euro, but if economic data starts to falter, we might see a shift in sentiment. This decision also reflects a broader trend among central banks to remain cautious, which could lead to volatility in forex pairs, especially EUR/USD. Keep an eye on economic indicators like GDP growth and employment rates, as these will be pivotal in shaping future ECB decisions. If inflation shows signs of rising again, expect the ECB to pivot quickly, which could create trading opportunities. Watch for key levels around the 1.10 mark for EUR/USD; a break above could signal bullish momentum, while a drop below could indicate bearish sentiment. The next few weeks will be crucial as traders digest upcoming economic data releases. 📮 Takeaway Monitor EUR/USD closely around the 1.10 level; a break could signal a shift in momentum based on upcoming economic data.
Crude oil in the spotlight as the third round of US-Iran nuclear talks begins in Geneva
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEWOil prices stabilized after last week’s sharp surge, which was driven by fears of a possible military escalation over the weekend. Attention is now turning to the third round of US–Iran nuclear talks taking place in Geneva today. Based on the developments so far, the prospects for an agreement appear slim. In fact, the signals we are getting are actually concerning.The US has reportedly built up a significant military presence in the Middle East, the largest deployment in the region since the 2003 invasion of Iraq. According to Reuters, Saudi Arabia has prepared a contingency plan to boost short-term oil production and exports if a potential US strike on Iran were to disrupt crude flows from the region. At the same time, reports suggest that Iran is close to finalizing a deal to purchase supersonic anti-ship missiles from China, although any deployment would not be immediate.If a military conflict were to break out, oil prices would likely spike sharply, particularly due to the risk of disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global energy supplies. Conversely, a clear sign of US military de-escalation or a breakthrough in negotiations between Washington and Tehran would likely be needed for prices to retreat toward the $60 level.For now, elevated geopolitical tensions are expected to keep the oil market supported.CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – DAILY TIMEFRAMEOn the daily chart, we can see that crude oil stabilised around the 66.43 level as traders turned their focus to the third round of US-Iran nuclear talks before picking a direction. We can expect the sellers to continue to step in around the 66.43 resistance with a defined risk above it to target a drop back into the 62.36 support. The buyers, on the other hand, will look for a break higher to increase the bullish bets into the 70.50 level next.CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 4 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 4 hour chart, we have also a mid-range support around the 64.14 level where aggressive dip-buyers could step in. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break below that level to increase the bearish bets into the 62.36 support next.CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 1 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 1 hour chart, we have a minor downward trendline defining the bearish momentum on this timeframe. The sellers will likely continue to lean on the trendline with a defined risk above it to keep pushing into new lows, while the buyers will look for a break higher to pile in for a rally into new highs. The red lines define the average daily range for today.UPCOMING CATALYSTSToday we have the third round of US-Iran nuclear talks in Geneva and the latest US Jobless Claims figures. Tomorrow, we conclude the week with the US PPI report. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Oil prices are holding steady after last week’s spike, but here’s why traders need to stay alert: The recent surge was fueled by geopolitical tensions, specifically fears surrounding US-Iran relations. As the third round of nuclear talks unfolds in Geneva today, the outcome could significantly impact oil prices. If negotiations falter, we might see another spike, while a successful agreement could lead to a pullback. Traders should keep an eye on the $80 per barrel mark, as this level has been a psychological barrier in recent trading sessions. A breach above could signal further bullish momentum, while a drop below could trigger profit-taking. But don’t overlook the broader context—global demand recovery and OPEC+ production decisions are still in play. If the talks lead to a de-escalation, it could ease supply concerns, impacting not just oil but also related assets like energy stocks. Watch for volatility in the coming days, especially as market participants react to news from Geneva and any shifts in sentiment around oil supply and demand dynamics. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the $80 per barrel level closely; a breakout could signal bullish momentum, while a failure to hold may lead to profit-taking.
ECB president Lagarde: My baseline is that I will stay until the end of my term
To be fair, she could use better choice of words here if she wants to sound more assuring. But in all likelihood, it looks like she wants to maintain optionality in her decision. How typical of a central banker these days, eh?The key word in her answer that is baseline. As we all know, there’s baseline scenarios to just about anything. However, it doesn’t mean that the actual outcome follows said baseline. And in her own semantics, Lagarde will definitely argue it that way if and when the time comes for her to leave the central bank earlier than her term dictates.As a reminder, it is speculated that Lagarde will depart from the ECB possibly before April next year. That is to say before the French presidential elections take place. As such, it will allow for Macron and other key EU members to nominate their preferred candidate of choice in replacing Lagarde as ECB president. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Central bankers are walking a tightrope, and their choice of words can sway markets significantly. In this case, the emphasis on ‘baseline’ suggests a cautious approach, indicating that they might not be ready to commit to aggressive policy changes just yet. This is crucial for traders because it reflects a broader trend of uncertainty in monetary policy, which can lead to increased volatility in both forex and crypto markets. When central banks maintain optionality, it often results in erratic price movements as traders react to every nuance in language. For forex traders, this could mean heightened volatility around major currency pairs, especially if economic data releases or geopolitical events coincide with central bank communications. Watch for key levels in pairs like EUR/USD or GBP/USD, as they may react sharply to any shifts in sentiment. In the crypto space, this cautious tone could also impact Bitcoin and Ethereum, particularly if traders perceive a risk-off sentiment in traditional markets. Keep an eye on the upcoming economic indicators and central bank meetings, as they could provide the catalyst for significant price movements. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the language used by central bankers closely; any shifts could trigger volatility in forex and crypto markets, especially around key economic data releases.
Eurozone February final consumer confidence -12.2 vs -12.2 prelim
Prior -12.4Economic confidence 98.3 vs 99.8 expectedPrior 99.4; revised to 99.3Industrial confidence -7.1 vs -6.1 expectedPrior -6.8Services confidence 5.0 vs 7.5 expectedPrior 7.2Slight delay in the release by the source. Euro area economic sentiment drops slightly in February, keeping below the long-term average score of 100 still. The recovery is dashed as employment expectations also declined on the month, with a drop in both industrial and services confidence as well.On the employment estimate, the decline (-0.7 to 98.5) was driven by weaker employment plans reported by managers in the services and construction sectors, which were only marginally countered by a slight improvement reported in retail trade.Here’s the breakdown by sectorial performance in the region:The report here isn’t going to change much to the ECB outlook. As mentioned earlier in the session, the central bank remains sidelined at the moment with no material shifts to policy expectations still. Policymakers are waiting for a major change in the wind direction on either the economic performance or the inflation front. And so far, we’re not quite there yet.As things stand, markets are also not really expecting anything from the ECB. Traders are currently pricing in no rate changes whatsoever through the end of the year. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Euro area economic sentiment just dipped below expectations, and here’s why that matters: With economic confidence falling to 98.3 against an expected 99.8, traders should brace for potential volatility in the Eurozone. This drop signals a weakening outlook, which could impact the euro’s strength against major currencies like the USD. The industrial confidence also missed the mark, coming in at -7.1 versus -6.1 expected, indicating that manufacturing sentiment is faltering. This could lead to a bearish trend for EUR/USD in the short term, especially if the euro fails to hold above key support levels. Look for the euro to test the 1.05 level, which has been a significant pivot point. If it breaks below, we might see a deeper retracement. On the flip side, while the services confidence remains relatively stable at 5.0, the overall sentiment suggests that traders should be cautious. The market might react negatively to these figures, especially if they lead to speculation about further monetary easing from the ECB. Keep an eye on upcoming economic releases and any shifts in central bank rhetoric, as these could provide additional trading signals. 📮 Takeaway Watch for EUR/USD to test the 1.05 support level; a break could signal deeper bearish momentum in response to falling economic confidence.
Silver retreats from a key level as focus turns to US-Iran talks and the NFP report
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEWSilver pulled all the way back into a key swing level around the 92.00 handle as some renewed tariff uncertainty and the risk of a military escalation between US and Iran has kept the market supported.Nonetheless, the bullish momentum from the Friday’s US Supreme Court decision seems to have already waned given no changes to the big picture. In fact, Trump has already imposed new tariffs under a different law, and the tariff deals remain in place. The new levies actually reduce the effective average tariff rate, so at the margin it could be a positive. The market might remain supported in the short-term amid some uncertainty, but I don’t see material changes to justify a rally back to all-time highs, at the moment. The real risks remain a potential US-Iran military escalation which could take silver prices to new highs or a hawkish repricing on stronger US data which would have a negative effect on the market. Fed’s Waller mentioned that he would change his dovish stance in case the strong January’s jobs data is repeated in February, so next week’s NFP report is going to be a key risk event for silver. GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – DAILY TIMEFRAMEOn the daily chart, we can see that silver pulled all the way back to the key swing level at 92.15. This is where we can expect the sellers to step in with a defined risk above the level to position for a drop into the major trendline around the 60.00 handle. The buyers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking higher to increase the bullish bets into a new record high next.GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 4 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 4 hour chart, we can see the price is rejecting a minor upward trendline as the buyers are stepping in with a defined risk below the trendline to position for a break above the 92.15 level. The sellers will look for a break below the trendline to extend the drop into the 80.00 support next. GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 1 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 1 hour chart, we can see a minor support zone around the 85.00 level. If the price were to break below the trendline, we can expect the buyers to step in around the support with a defined risk below it to position for a rally into new highs. A break above the minor downward trendline should see the buyers increasing their bullish bets. The sellers, on the other hand, will likely continue to lean on the downward trendline to keep pushing into new lows The red lines define the average daily range for today. UPCOMING CATALYSTSToday we have the third round of US-Iran talks and the US Jobless Claims data. Tomorrow, we conclude the week with the US PPI report. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Ethereum’s current price of $2,063.55 is crucial as traders assess the impact of external geopolitical factors on crypto markets. With silver’s pullback to the 92.00 level amid tariff uncertainties and US-Iran tensions, traders should be wary of how these developments could spill over into the crypto space. The bullish sentiment from the recent US Supreme Court decision adds a layer of complexity, potentially influencing institutional interest in Ethereum. If ETH can hold above the $2,000 mark, it may attract more buyers looking for a safe haven amidst global instability. However, a drop below this level could trigger stop-losses and further selling pressure, especially if broader market sentiment shifts negatively. Keep an eye on the correlation between silver and crypto assets; a continued decline in silver could indicate risk-off sentiment that might also affect ETH. Watch for key levels around $2,000 and $2,100, as these will likely dictate short-term trading strategies. 📮 Takeaway Monitor Ethereum’s price action around $2,000; a break below could signal increased selling pressure, while holding above may attract buyers amid geopolitical tensions.
US futures hold caution ahead of the open later
The big story in the equities market came after the close yesterday, with Nvidia delivering a major beat in their earnings report across the board. That saw shares of the tech giant rose by over 3% for a brief period in after-hours trading before settling with more modest gains. In turn, broader market sentiment also retreated and that’s making for a more tepid mood seen in Asia and early European morning trade thus far.S&P 500 futures are down 0.1% currently, with Nasdaq futures also down 0.1% on the day. As we look to the open later, Nvidia shares are now seen up only 0.6% in pre-market. Even with a triple beat on revenue, earnings, and guidance, it’s not quite doing enough to drag the ship up as we gear up towards the Wall Street open in a few hours.And the market saying is that when something can’t go up on good news, it surely means that there is danger up ahead.That being said, it would be remiss of me not to point out that investors tend to put Nvidia up on an extremely high pedestal when it comes to earnings releases. And this time is no exception to that.When perfection is the bare minimum, Nvidia’s latest earnings beat is pretty much what investors would really want to see with the poster boy of the AI rally. So when perfection is very much expected, the exemplary tends to become ordinary. And one can argue that is what we’re seeing here.All that being said, the more tepid mood belies the fact that the S&P 500 is still just 0.8% away from reaching fresh record highs. And the Nasdaq is also bucking the technical downside break earlier this month to climb back up to its 100-day moving average – hitting a two-week high.There are definitely still macro concerns with regards to geopolitics and trade, alongside software stocks still being hounded by the AI disruption. All of that is certainly going to make for more cautious steps in the short-term. But if you go by the charts alone, it certainly doesn’t feel like equities are in any sense of danger.Yet, there’s still that lingering feeling that the AI disruption and Nvidia having to shoulder such a heavy weight can only go so far before a correction is due. There are growing concerns on how the hyperscalers i.e. Google, Meta, Microsoft can keep up on capex spending to support the outlook portrayed by Nvidia. And that adds to the prevailing narrative that software stocks are being heavily pushed down now by the same very AI disruption that Nvidia is powering.Can big tech prove to be enough to do the heavy lifting if the rest of the market struggles? That might be the key juncture we’re at when viewing the latest developments. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Nvidia’s earnings beat is a game changer for tech stocks, but here’s why you should be cautious. While a 3% jump in after-hours trading is impressive, it’s crucial to consider the broader context. Nvidia’s performance could signal a bullish trend in tech, especially as investors look for growth amid economic uncertainty. However, this spike might also attract profit-taking, especially if the stock approaches key resistance levels. Watch for how Nvidia interacts with its recent highs; a failure to hold above these levels could lead to a quick reversal. On the flip side, if Nvidia maintains momentum, it could lift related sectors, particularly semiconductor stocks. Traders should monitor the overall sentiment in tech and any shifts in institutional buying patterns, as these could indicate whether this rally has legs. Keep an eye on the next earnings reports from competitors, as they could either validate Nvidia’s strength or highlight weaknesses in the sector. 📮 Takeaway Watch Nvidia closely; if it breaks above its recent highs, it could trigger further bullish sentiment in tech stocks.
Forex Today: Australian Dollar surges to two-week highs after strong CPI data
The Australian Dollar (AUD) skyrocketed to near a two-week high after a hotter-than-expected January inflation report, fueling speculation of additional rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight The AUD’s surge signals a pivotal moment for traders: inflation data is driving rate hike speculation. With the Australian Dollar nearing a two-week high, traders should consider how this impacts their positions. A hotter-than-expected inflation report often leads to tighter monetary policy, which could push the RBA to raise rates sooner than anticipated. This scenario can create volatility in both the AUD and related markets, such as commodities and equities tied to the Australian economy. Watch for key resistance levels around recent highs, as a break could trigger further bullish momentum. However, it’s worth noting that the market can overreact to inflation data. If subsequent reports show a cooling trend, the AUD could reverse sharply. Keep an eye on upcoming economic indicators and RBA commentary for clues on future rate decisions. The immediate focus should be on the AUD’s performance against major pairs, particularly the USD, as traders assess the likelihood of sustained strength in the currency. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the AUD’s resistance levels closely; a break could signal further gains, but watch for potential reversals if inflation trends shift.