MUFG’s Lin Li and Khang Sek Lee note that China’s January CPI slowdown was heavily distorted by Chinese New Year base effects, with food and services dragging headline inflation. PPI deflation narrowed on stronger global metals prices and tech-related demand. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight China’s CPI slowdown isn’t just a seasonal blip—it’s a signal for traders to watch closely. The January CPI figures, influenced by the Chinese New Year, show a misleading dip in inflation, primarily driven by food and service prices. This could lead to misinterpretations in the market, especially for commodities and tech stocks that are sensitive to inflation trends. The narrowing of PPI deflation, thanks to rising global metals prices and tech demand, suggests that underlying inflation pressures might be building, which could impact monetary policy decisions. Traders should be cautious, as this could lead to volatility in related markets, particularly in commodities and tech stocks that rely on stable pricing. Here’s the thing: while the mainstream narrative might focus on the CPI drop, the real story is the potential for a rebound in inflation metrics that could catch many off guard. Keep an eye on the PPI trends and global metals prices as they could provide early signals of shifts in market sentiment. Watch for any unexpected moves in commodities or tech stocks in the coming weeks as these dynamics unfold. 📮 Takeaway Monitor PPI trends and global metals prices closely; they could signal shifts in inflation that impact commodities and tech stocks in the near term.
SGD: Budget support and equity-market push – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s FX analysts note that Singapore’s 2026 Budget emphasizes supply-side support, SME internationalisation and capital-market development, including fresh funding for the Equity Market Development Programme and Anchor Fund. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Singapore’s 2026 Budget is a game-changer for SMEs and capital markets, and here’s why that matters right now: The focus on supply-side support and internationalization for small and medium enterprises (SMEs) could lead to increased demand for Singaporean assets, particularly in the forex market. As SMEs expand globally, we might see a boost in the Singapore dollar (SGD) as these businesses seek to hedge against currency fluctuations. The fresh funding for the Equity Market Development Programme signals a commitment to enhancing market liquidity, which could attract both institutional and retail investors. Traders should keep an eye on the SGD’s performance against major currencies, especially the USD, as these initiatives roll out. However, there’s a flip side. If the funding doesn’t translate into tangible growth or if global economic conditions worsen, we could see a backlash in the form of reduced investor confidence. Watch for key economic indicators from Singapore in the coming months, particularly GDP growth and export figures, as they will provide insight into the effectiveness of these budget measures. The immediate impact could be felt in the forex market, so monitoring SGD/USD levels will be crucial for positioning trades effectively. 📮 Takeaway Watch for SGD/USD movements as Singapore’s 2026 Budget initiatives unfold; key economic indicators will signal the effectiveness of these measures.
Bitcoin passes $69K on slower US CPI print, but Fed rate-cut odds stay low
Bitcoin bulls enjoyed a relief rally to $69,000 on the back of soft US CPI inflation data amid hopes of BTC price action making a “higher low.” 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Bitcoin’s recent bounce to $69,000 is more than just a relief rally; it signals potential bullish momentum. The soft US CPI inflation data has eased some macroeconomic fears, allowing traders to speculate on a higher low formation for BTC. This is crucial because if Bitcoin can hold above this level, it could attract more institutional interest, especially as we approach year-end. Keep an eye on the $68,000 support level; a solid hold here could lead to a retest of previous highs. But here’s the flip side: if BTC fails to maintain this momentum, we might see a quick reversal, which could trigger stop losses and further selling pressure. Watch for volume trends and any shifts in sentiment from major players. If we see increased buying volume above $69,000, it could confirm bullish sentiment. Conversely, a drop below $68,000 would raise red flags for short-term traders. Timing is everything, so monitor these levels closely as we head into the weekend. 📮 Takeaway Watch for Bitcoin to hold above $68,000; failure to do so could trigger a bearish reversal, while a break above $69,000 may attract more buyers.
Bitcoin most 'undervalued' since March 2023 at $20K, BTC price metric shows
Bitcoin onchain analysis eyed a potential end to the BTC price downtrend as its MVRV ratio returned to levels not seen in three years. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Bitcoin’s MVRV ratio hitting three-year lows could signal a trend reversal, and here’s why that matters: The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio is a crucial indicator for assessing whether Bitcoin is undervalued or overvalued. With BTC currently at $68,783.00, a rebound in this ratio suggests that many holders are now in profit, which could incentivize buying pressure. Historically, when the MVRV ratio dips this low, it often precedes significant price recoveries, making this a pivotal moment for traders. However, it’s worth noting that while this could indicate a bullish shift, market sentiment remains fragile, and external factors like regulatory news or macroeconomic shifts could still derail momentum. Traders should keep an eye on key resistance levels around $70,000. If BTC can break through and hold above this level, it could trigger further buying interest. Conversely, a failure to maintain upward momentum might lead to a retest of lower support levels. Watch for volume spikes and sentiment shifts in the coming days, as these could provide additional clues about the sustainability of any potential rally. 📮 Takeaway Monitor Bitcoin’s resistance at $70,000; a break above could signal a bullish trend reversal, while failure may lead to retests of lower support.
Bitcoin $72K target possible if V-shaped recovery pattern completes
Bitcoin’s post-CPI rally above $69,000 may help complete the V-shaped recovery chart pattern and also confirm that $60,000 was the sell-off bottom. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Bitcoin’s surge past $69,000 is more than just a number—it’s a potential game changer for traders. If this rally confirms the V-shaped recovery pattern, it could signal a shift in market sentiment, suggesting that the $60,000 level indeed marked the bottom of the recent sell-off. Traders should keep an eye on volume trends; a strong increase in buying pressure could validate this breakout. On the flip side, if we see a quick pullback below $68,000, it might indicate that the rally lacks conviction, leading to further volatility. Watch for key resistance levels around $70,000, as a sustained move above this could open the door to new highs. Conversely, a failure to hold above $68,000 could trigger stop-losses and lead to cascading effects across the crypto market, impacting altcoins as well. Keeping tabs on broader market indicators, like the performance of Ethereum or major altcoins, will also provide insight into overall market health. 📮 Takeaway Monitor Bitcoin’s ability to hold above $68,000; a failure here could trigger significant volatility across the crypto market.
Bitcoin bulls blitz $69K as retail traders pressure short positioning
Bitcoin rallies above $69,000 as retail traders apply pressure to short positions and aim to generate a lasting bullish trend change. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Bitcoin’s surge past $69,000 is a clear signal that retail traders are flexing their muscles, forcing short sellers to rethink their positions. This rally isn’t just a flash in the pan; it suggests a potential shift in market sentiment. Retail traders, often seen as the underdogs, are now driving momentum, which could lead to a more sustained bullish trend if they maintain their buying pressure. Watch for resistance levels around $70,000—breaking through could trigger further buying and attract institutional interest. On the flip side, if we see a quick pullback, it might indicate that the rally was overextended, and short positions could re-emerge. Keep an eye on the daily trading volume and sentiment indicators; a significant drop in volume could signal a reversal. Also, monitor the behavior of larger market players—if they start to accumulate, it could validate the bullish trend further. The next few days will be crucial for confirming whether this rally has legs or if it’s just a temporary spike. 📮 Takeaway Watch for Bitcoin’s ability to hold above $69,000; a break above $70,000 could signal a stronger bullish trend, while a drop below $68,000 may indicate a reversal.
Price predictions 2/13: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, SOL, DOGE, BCH, HYPE, ADA, XMR
Bitcoin and several major altcoins are attempting a relief rally, signaling that the bulls are trying to form a higher low. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Bitcoin’s recent attempt at a relief rally could be a turning point for altcoins like LTC. With LTC currently at $55.00, traders should watch for confirmation of this bullish sentiment. A sustained move above $57 could indicate a stronger upward trend, while a failure to hold above $54 might trigger further selling pressure. The broader market context suggests that if Bitcoin can maintain its momentum, altcoins often follow suit, potentially leading to a favorable trading environment for LTC. However, it’s worth noting that if Bitcoin fails to break key resistance levels, we could see a quick reversal, impacting LTC negatively. Keep an eye on Bitcoin’s price action and volume over the next few days; these will be crucial for determining LTC’s trajectory. 📮 Takeaway Watch for LTC to break above $57 for bullish confirmation, but be cautious if it dips below $54.
ETH open interest falls to 3-year low: What does it mean for Ether price?
Traders say Ether’s declining open interest and futures funding rates could set the groundwork for a significant short squeeze on bearish leveraged positions and a rally to $2,500. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Ether’s open interest is dropping, and that’s a big deal for traders right now. A decline in open interest often signals that traders are closing out positions, which can lead to less liquidity and increased volatility. If bearish positions are being squeezed, we could see a rapid price increase, potentially targeting that $2,500 level. This aligns with the current futures funding rates, which are also showing signs of bearish sentiment. If the funding rates remain low, it could entice more short positions, setting the stage for a classic short squeeze. But here’s the flip side: if the market doesn’t rally as expected, those short positions could quickly turn into a trap, leading to further declines. Traders should keep an eye on the $2,000 support level; a break below that could negate the bullish thesis and trigger more selling pressure. Watch for volume spikes around key resistance levels as a signal of potential momentum shifts. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the $2,000 support level closely; a bounce could lead to a rally towards $2,500, but a break could trigger further selling.
Ether holds $2K, but will $242M spot ETH ETF outflow reignite price downside?
Ether holds $2,000, but may remain under pressure as traders watch corporate earnings, US government debt and growing global tensions. 🔗 Source
Kalshi Taps Sports Insurance Market With Game Point Capital Deal as Regulatory Battles Mount
Kalshi expands sports risk hedging while courts weigh bans and U.S. regulators signal broader oversight of prediction markets. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Kalshi’s move into sports risk hedging is a game changer, especially with regulators tightening their grip on prediction markets. As U.S. regulators signal increased oversight, traders need to be aware of how this could impact liquidity and market dynamics. Kalshi’s expansion could attract institutional interest, but it also raises questions about compliance and regulatory hurdles. If you’re trading in prediction markets, keep an eye on how these developments affect volatility and trading volumes. The flip side? Increased scrutiny might deter some retail traders, leading to a potential liquidity crunch. Watch for any announcements from regulators that could influence market sentiment. Key metrics to monitor include trading volumes on Kalshi and any shifts in market sentiment around prediction markets as regulations evolve. 📮 Takeaway Keep an eye on Kalshi’s trading volumes and regulatory announcements; they could signal shifts in market dynamics and liquidity for prediction markets.