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We have a “free hand” in conducting interventionsOur deputies in US, Japan are in close contact on forex mattersAll we can say is that past interventions have made an impactThe warning here isn’t anything new and it comes as we see USD/JPY inch closer towards the 160 mark once again this week. The currency pair has been threatening a push higher despite some dollar weakness in early April. That as the yen itself is struggling to get off the floor amid the damage done to the Japanese economy from surging energy prices.As for her comment on past interventions having an impact, she’s not wrong. However, it must be pointed out that such a remark also doesn’t tell the full story.As seen with previous intervention attempts, the impact they have on the yen currency is immediate but they tend to be temporary. In the last instance during July 2024, the intervention from Tokyo saw USD/JPY fall from 159 to 140 in about three months. However, we saw a near complete erasure of that drop by the time we got to early January 2025. So, keep that in mind.And in this current backdrop, I can imagine any actual intervention having a more limited impact. Mind you, the Takaichi trade is still something that is running in the background among all the other negative factors pining down the yen currency.
This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.
💡 DMK Insight
USD/JPY nearing 160 is a big deal, and here’s why: central banks are signaling readiness to intervene. With the USD/JPY inching closer to that psychological level, traders should be on high alert. Historically, interventions have shifted market dynamics, and this time could be no different. The close communication between U.S. and Japanese officials suggests a coordinated approach, which could lead to volatility in both forex and related markets. If the pair breaks above 160, expect a rush of speculative trading, but also potential pushback from central banks. On the flip side, if the intervention fails to stabilize the pair, we might see a sharp correction as traders reassess their positions. Watch for key resistance around 160 and support levels that could emerge if the intervention occurs. Keep an eye on economic indicators from both countries, as they could provide context for any sudden moves in the currency pair.
📮 Takeaway
Monitor USD/JPY closely as it approaches 160; a break could trigger intervention, impacting forex volatility and related assets.
