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investingLive European markets wrap: Tentative mood with eyes on Middle East, FOMC meeting

Headlines:Oil price surge sees momentum being tested, are markets too complacent?Iraq-Turkey Pipeline (ITP) to resume at a rate of 250,000 barrels to start withEquities continue to put up a strong front this week, at least for nowFed preview: the central bank will avoid scaring markets and keep the status quoBoC preview: interest rates to remain unchanged; cautious approach amid US-Iran warBoJ preview: no changes expected amid lack of inflation progress and geopolitical riskEurozone February final CPI +1.9% vs +1.9% y/y prelimMarkets:WTI crude oil down 0.7% to $95.30USD and major FX little changedEuropean indices sit higher but early gains reduced, S&P 500 futures up 0.3%US 10-year yields down 1.3 bps to 4.19%Gold drops down 1.1% to $4,950Bitcoin down 2.0% to $73,036It was a more tentative session as markets continue to wait on further developments from the Middle East.The Strait of Hormuz remains shut for business and the only positive news for energy markets was that we did see a major breakthrough with the reopening of the Iraq-Turkey Pipeline (ITP). That being said, it is a mere drop in the bucket of water in terms of compensating for the loss of oil exports from the Hormuz blockade. But at least for now, Iraq has a tiny outlet to make up for loss of over 3 million barrels per day in exports. The opening level for the pipeline is 250,000 barrels per day for now.Oil prices were not too volatile, with lesser headlines involving Iran attacks as well. However, traders remain guarded overall still. WTI crude oil is down 0.7% to $95.30 but off early lows of $91.45 seen in Asia trading at least.In other markets, stocks continue to stay in search of a brighter outlook this week. European indices are sitting higher but have reduced gains during the session, the same for US futures. The DAX is up 0.5% currently but was up around 0.9% earlier in the day. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures were up as much as 0.6% but have halved gains to 0.3% now.While the main focus stays on the Middle East, just be reminded that there is also the FOMC meeting to come later today.With that, major currencies also remain guarded with light changes all around. The dollar is looking rather tepid and lacking direction during the session. EUR/USD is flat at 1.1537 with USD/JPY also flat now at 159.05 after a brief trip lower to 158.65 earlier in the day.Elsewhere, precious metals are looking softer with gold down 1.1% to $4,950 and silver down 0.8% to $78.63 on the day. In the bond market, 10-year Treasury yields continue to retreat on the week with yields down 1.3 bps to 4.19% at the moment.
This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.

๐Ÿ”— Source

๐Ÿ’ก DMK Insight

Oil prices are on the rise, and here’s why traders need to pay attention: The resumption of the Iraq-Turkey Pipeline at 250,000 barrels per day could shift supply dynamics significantly. This increase might not only affect oil prices but also ripple through related markets, including energy stocks and currencies tied to oil exports. With equities showing strength this week, traders might be getting complacent, overlooking the potential volatility that a sudden spike in oil prices could bring. If oil continues to climb, watch for key resistance levels that could trigger profit-taking in equities, especially in sectors sensitive to energy costs. On the flip side, the Fed’s upcoming decisions are crucial. If they maintain the status quo, it could provide a temporary cushion for equities, but any hint of tightening could lead to a sharp correction. Keep an eye on the correlation between oil prices and the broader market; a divergence could signal an impending shift. For now, monitor oil’s movement closely, especially if it approaches recent highs, as that could set the stage for a broader market reaction.

๐Ÿ“ฎ Takeaway

Watch for oil price movements and key resistance levels; a surge could impact equities and trigger volatility in related markets.

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