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CAD: Loonie regains altitude on oil support – NBC

National Bank of Canada (NBC) strategists Stéfane Marion and Kyle Dahms note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) has rebounded sharply, with USD/CAD moving back toward 1.35 as higher Oil prices bolster Canada’s trade and fiscal outlook.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

The CAD’s rebound against the USD is significant, especially with USD/CAD nearing 1.35. This movement is largely driven by rising oil prices, which directly enhance Canada’s trade balance. Traders should keep an eye on oil market dynamics, as further increases could solidify CAD strength. If USD/CAD breaks below 1.35, it could trigger more aggressive buying of CAD, while a failure to hold this level might lead to a quick reversal. Also, consider how this impacts related assets like crude oil futures and Canadian equities, which often move in tandem with the CAD. But here’s the flip side: if oil prices stabilize or drop, the CAD could lose its momentum, leading to a potential USD resurgence. Watch for key economic indicators from Canada and the U.S. that could sway this currency pair, particularly any shifts in interest rates or employment data in the coming weeks.

📮 Takeaway

Monitor USD/CAD closely; a break below 1.35 could signal CAD strength, while oil price trends will be crucial.

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