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investingLive European markets wrap: Dollar steady, risk trades on edge amid cautious mood

Headlines:Gold remains supported amid US-Iran uncertainty, but downside risks linger with NFP nextOil prices remain supported amid US-Iran uncertainty; traders likely to hedge into weekendMajor currencies not up to much as we get into the final stretch of the weekBavaria February CPI +1.9% vs +2.1% y/y priorFrance February preliminary CPI +1.0% vs +0.8% y/y expectedSpain February preliminary CPI +2.3% vs +2.2% y/y expectedFrance Q4 final GDP +0.2% vs +0.2% q/q prelimSwitzerland Q4 GDP +0.1% vs +0.2% q/q expectedChina’s Politburo: Development process of latest ‘five-year plan’ is “extremely unusual”Markets:US dollar steady, little changed; CHF leads, GBP lags on the dayEuropean equities steady, mostly little changedS&P 500 futures lower by 0.4%, Nasdaq futures down 0.5%WTI crude oil up over 2% to $66.87Gold flat at $5,186 while silver is up 1% to $89.69US 10-year yields down 3 bps to 3.997%Bitcoin down 2.2% to $65,949It was a relatively slower session with markets staying on edge as we approach the closing stages of the week/month.Geopolitical tensions remain in focus as traders and investors await further developments between the US and Iran ahead of the weekend. That is making for a more guarded mood in general, with the dollar holding steadier while risk trades stay on the defensive. Meanwhile, oil prices are staying underpinned with WTI crude up over 2% near the week’s highs at $66.87.In the major currencies space, there wasn’t much action to take note of. The dollar is keeping little changed mostly and more mixed with the bigger news being from Asia trading when China stepped in to slow the yuan appreciation by making it cheaper to buy up the dollar. That didn’t translate to much influence in Europe though.EUR/USD is flat around 1.1803 with large option expiries in play at the 1.1800 mark. Meanwhile, GBP/USD is flat at 1.3475 despite political risks coming in as Labour were humiliated by the Gordon and Denton by-election results. Then, USD/JPY is down slightly by 0.2% to 155.83 but there wasn’t anything in it with the pair ranging near the 156.00 mark on the session.Looking to equities, major indices in Europe kept a steadier mood with light changes and a more mixed showing. The selloff in Wall Street yesterday was largely due to tech shares and we’re seeing that continue again today. US futures are keeping lower across the board with S&P 500 futures down 0.4% and Nasdaq futures down 0.5% currently.As for precious metals, there wasn’t much in it either with gold flat at $5,186 and silver just up a little over 1% to $89.69 on the day.All eyes are staying on geopolitical developments, US stock market sentiment, as well as month-end flows in looking to wrap up the week.
This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

Gold’s current support amid US-Iran tensions is a signal for cautious trading strategies. With the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report looming, traders should be wary of volatility spikes. Historically, NFP releases can lead to significant price swings, especially in gold and oil, which are both showing resilience right now. The uncertainty surrounding geopolitical events often drives safe-haven demand, but the potential for a downside correction remains if the NFP data surprises positively. Traders should keep an eye on key levels; for gold, a break below recent support could trigger selling pressure, while oil prices may also react sharply depending on the NFP outcome. Additionally, the CPI data from Bavaria and France could influence the euro and broader currency markets, but the immediate focus should be on how these economic indicators interact with the NFP results. Watch for the NFP release next week as it could set the tone for market sentiment and trading strategies across commodities and currencies alike.

📮 Takeaway

Keep an eye on the upcoming NFP report; it could trigger volatility in gold and oil, impacting trading strategies significantly.

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