The NASDAQ index pushed to a high on Monday but failed to extend above its falling 100-hour moving average, a rejection that triggered a sharp move lower. The decline reached Tuesday’s weekly low near 22,193, aligning with the top of a key swing support area.A subsequent rebound carried the index back above the 100-hour moving average, briefly increasing the bullish bias. However, momentum stalled at the 200-hour moving average, where buyers turned into sellers, leading to another sharp decline yesterday. Today, downside pressure continues, with the index trading lower by roughly 0.8%.What comes next?For buyers to regain control, the price must move back above and hold the 100-hour moving average near 22,851. Even then, upside momentum would still need confirmation through a break above the falling 200-hour moving average at 23,117, which remains the key technical pivot.On the downside, initial support comes in near 22,461, the low from last week. Below that level lies a broader swing support zone between 21,949 and 22,461. The lower boundary of this area also aligns with the 38.2% retracement of the rally from the May 23, 2025 low, increasing its technical importance.Sellers hold the near-term advantage, but additional downside progress is still needed to strengthen the bearish bias. For now, the 200-hour moving average remains the key pivot, separating a more bearish outlook from a potential return to bullish momentum.
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.
đź’ˇ DMK Insight
The NASDAQ’s failure to break above the 100-hour moving average is a critical signal for traders right now. This rejection at a key resistance level suggests a bearish sentiment, especially as the index dipped to around 22,193, which aligns with significant swing support. Traders should be cautious; if the index can’t hold this support, we could see further declines. Look for volume spikes or changes in momentum indicators to gauge the strength of any rebound. On the flip side, a successful break above the 100-hour moving average could indicate a potential reversal, but that seems less likely given the current trend. Keep an eye on correlated assets like tech stocks, as they often move in tandem with the NASDAQ, and monitor for any shifts in market sentiment that could impact these levels.
đź“® Takeaway
Watch the NASDAQ closely; a drop below 22,193 could trigger further selling, while a break above the 100-hour MA might signal a reversal.




