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ECB: Rates seen unchanged through 2026 – Nordea

Nordea’s Ole Håkon Eek-Nielsen and Jan von Gerich note that the ECB remains relaxed about lower inflation and FX moves, and is firmly on hold.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

The ECB’s relaxed stance on inflation and FX movements is a green light for traders: With the central bank firmly on hold, this signals stability in the Eurozone, which could lead to a stronger Euro against other currencies. Traders should be aware that a lack of aggressive monetary policy could keep volatility low in the forex markets, making it an ideal environment for day traders looking to capitalize on smaller price movements. However, this also means that any unexpected shifts in inflation data or geopolitical events could trigger rapid reactions. Watch for key economic indicators like upcoming inflation reports or employment data, as these could influence the ECB’s future decisions. If inflation unexpectedly rises, it could force the ECB to reconsider its position, leading to potential volatility in the Euro. Keep an eye on the EUR/USD pair, especially around the 1.10 level, as a break above or below could signal a new trading range.

📮 Takeaway

Monitor the EUR/USD pair closely around the 1.10 level for potential breakout opportunities, especially in light of upcoming inflation data.

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