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When is the Japan quarterly prelim GDP and how could is affect USD/JPY?

The Japan’s Cabinet Office will publish its data for the third quarter (Q3) at 23.50 GMT. Gross Domestic Product is estimated to show a contraction of 0.6% QoQ in the Q3, compared to an expansion of 0.5% in the previous reading.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

Japan’s Q3 GDP is set to contract, and here’s why that matters for traders: A 0.6% QoQ contraction signals a significant economic slowdown, especially following the previous 0.5% expansion. This shift could impact the yen’s value against major currencies, particularly if traders react negatively to the data. If the actual figures align with estimates, we might see the USD/JPY pair testing resistance levels around 150, as market sentiment shifts towards risk-off strategies. Keep an eye on how institutional players respond; they often lead the charge in these scenarios. But there’s a flip side: if the contraction is less severe than expected, it could lead to a short squeeze in the yen, pushing it higher against the dollar. Traders should monitor the release closely and consider positioning for volatility, especially in the hours following the announcement. Watch for any revisions to previous data as well, as they could further influence market sentiment and trading strategies.

📮 Takeaway

Watch for Japan’s Q3 GDP data release at 23.50 GMT; a contraction could push USD/JPY towards 150, while a less severe outcome might trigger a short squeeze.

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