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When is the China quarterly GDP and how could it affect AUD/USD?

The National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS) will publish its data at 02.00 GMT on Monday. China quarterly GDP is estimated to grow 1.0% in the fourth quarter (Q4), compared to an expansion of 1.1% in Q3. On an annual basis, the Chinese economy is forecast to expand 4.4% versus 4.8% prior.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

China’s GDP data release is looming, and here’s why it matters: a slowdown could shake global markets. With Q4 growth expected to dip to 1.0% from 1.1% in Q3, traders should brace for potential volatility, especially in commodities and currencies linked to China. A weaker-than-expected GDP could signal deeper economic issues, impacting demand for oil and metals, which have already been under pressure. Keep an eye on the Chinese yuan and related forex pairs; a significant miss could lead to a depreciation of the yuan, affecting risk sentiment across emerging markets. Additionally, the broader implications for global supply chains and trade dynamics can’t be ignored, especially for countries heavily reliant on Chinese exports. Watch for the actual GDP figure and any accompanying commentary from the NBS. If the number comes in below expectations, it could trigger a sell-off in risk assets, so having stop-loss orders in place might be wise. Also, monitor the reaction in the Hang Seng Index and other Asian markets for immediate clues on market sentiment.

📮 Takeaway

Watch for China’s GDP release at 02.00 GMT; a miss below 1.0% could trigger volatility in commodities and the yuan.

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