TD Securities analysts Prashant Newnaha and Alex Loo discuss the implications of Japan’s upcoming Lower House Election on fiscal policy and the USDJPY exchange rate.
💡 DMK Insight
Japan’s Lower House Election is looming, and here’s why that matters for USDJPY: traders need to brace for potential volatility. Analysts are eyeing how the election results could shift fiscal policy, impacting the Bank of Japan’s stance on interest rates. If the ruling party maintains power, we might see a continuation of ultra-loose monetary policy, which could weaken the yen further against the dollar. Conversely, a shift in power could signal a tightening approach, potentially strengthening the yen. Traders should watch the USDJPY closely, especially around key technical levels—if it breaks above recent highs, it could trigger more buying momentum. On the flip side, if it dips below support levels, that could lead to a sell-off. Keep an eye on the election date and any pre-election polls, as sentiment shifts could lead to rapid price movements in the forex market. Also, monitor global economic indicators that might influence the dollar’s strength, as they could amplify the effects of the election results.
📮 Takeaway
Watch USDJPY closely around the election; a break above recent highs could trigger buying, while a dip below support may signal a sell-off.





