USD/TWD: Export surge and flows support Taiwan Dollar – Commerzbank

💡 DMK Insight

Taiwan’s export surge of 69.9% in January is a game changer for traders focused on tech and commodities. This impressive growth, the highest in 16 years, signals strong global demand, particularly for advanced semiconductors crucial for AI applications. Traders should note that this broad-based export increase across electronics, chemicals, and base metals could lead to upward pressure on related stocks and commodities. For instance, companies heavily invested in semiconductor production might see bullish momentum, while those in the chemical sector could also benefit. However, it’s worth considering that such explosive growth might be partly due to base effects from last year’s lower figures. Traders should keep an eye on the upcoming economic indicators from Taiwan and the broader Asia-Pacific region to gauge sustainability. Watch for any shifts in semiconductor demand, as a slowdown could impact not just Taiwan’s economy but also global tech stocks. Key levels to monitor include the semiconductor index and related ETFs, especially if they start breaking out of recent ranges.