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USD: Labour data and Fed cuts in focus – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Erik Liem flags the delayed US labour market report as the key driver for US rates and Dollar pricing, especially after the strong reaction to JOLTS.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

The delay in the US labor market report is a big deal for traders right now. With the strong reaction to the JOLTS data, market participants are on edge, and this uncertainty could lead to volatility in both US rates and the Dollar. If the labor report shows stronger-than-expected job growth, we might see a spike in yields, which could push the Dollar higher. Conversely, any signs of weakness could trigger a sell-off in the Dollar and a flight to safety in assets like gold or treasuries. Traders should keep an eye on the upcoming report and adjust their positions accordingly, especially if they’re holding Dollar-denominated assets. Here’s the flip side: if the labor report is delayed further, it could lead to increased speculation and erratic price movements. This uncertainty might create opportunities for day traders looking to capitalize on short-term swings. Watch for key levels in the Dollar index and US Treasury yields, as these will be critical in gauging market sentiment in the coming days.

📮 Takeaway

Keep an eye on the upcoming US labor report; strong data could boost the Dollar, while delays may create volatility in related assets.

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