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USD/CAD: Range resistance caps gains – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed, with USD/CAD stretching its recent range but failing to sustain moves above the mid‑1.37s.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

The CAD’s stability against the USD signals a potential consolidation phase, and here’s why that matters: With USD/CAD struggling to hold above the mid-1.37s, traders should consider this a critical resistance level. A failure to break through could indicate a bearish sentiment for the USD, especially if broader economic indicators, like U.S. employment data or inflation reports, come in weaker than expected. This resistance also aligns with technical analysis, where traders often look for reversal patterns around key levels. If the CAD holds its ground, it could attract buyers looking for a long position, especially if oil prices remain strong, as Canada is a major oil exporter. Conversely, a decisive break above 1.37 could trigger stop-loss orders and lead to a rapid move higher, so keep an eye on this level. Watch for upcoming economic releases that could impact the USD, as they might provide the catalyst needed for a breakout or a reversal. The next few trading sessions will be crucial in determining the CAD’s trajectory against the USD.

📮 Takeaway

Monitor the USD/CAD resistance at mid-1.37; a break could lead to significant volatility, while failure to hold may favor CAD strength.

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