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RBA: Market weighs live March hike risk – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Senior Strategist Prashant Newnaha highlights that recent comments from RBA Deputy Governor Hauser sound hawkish and reinforce Governor Bullock’s message that the March Board meeting is live.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

RBA’s hawkish tone is a game changer for traders focused on AUD pairs. With Deputy Governor Hauser’s recent comments, the market’s anticipation for a rate hike in March is heating up. This could lead to a stronger Australian dollar, especially against weaker currencies like the NZD and JPY. Traders should keep an eye on the AUD/USD pair, as any bullish momentum could push it towards key resistance levels. If the RBA follows through with a hike, expect a ripple effect across commodity markets, given Australia’s heavy reliance on exports. But here’s the flip side: if inflation data or employment figures disappoint before the March meeting, we could see a quick reversal in sentiment. So, watch for upcoming economic releases and market reactions closely. The next few weeks are crucial for positioning ahead of the potential rate decision.

📮 Takeaway

Monitor AUD/USD closely; a rate hike in March could push it towards key resistance levels, while upcoming economic data will be critical.

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