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NZD/USD Price Forecast: Slips as the Kiwi remains muted on risk-on mood

The NZD/USD opens the week with losses of over 0.14% on Monday, trading at around 0.5771 after opening the session at around 0.5778 as risk appetite improved. Despite this, the Kiwi failed to rally on expectations that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand might cut rates at the November 26 meeting.

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💡 DMK Insight

The NZD/USD’s 0.14% dip to 0.5771 signals a struggle for the Kiwi despite improved risk appetite. Traders expected a rate cut from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand on November 26, but the lack of a rally indicates skepticism about the effectiveness of such a move. This could suggest that market participants are pricing in a more cautious outlook for the Kiwi, especially against a backdrop of fluctuating global risk sentiment. If the NZD/USD fails to hold above the 0.5770 level, we might see further downside, potentially targeting the next support around 0.5700. Keep an eye on any shifts in risk appetite or economic data releases that could influence the RBNZ’s decision. On the flip side, if the RBNZ surprises with a more hawkish stance, we could see a sharp reversal. Watch for any comments from RBNZ officials leading up to the meeting, as they could provide clues on market sentiment and future direction.

📮 Takeaway

Monitor the NZD/USD around the 0.5770 level; a break below could lead to further declines toward 0.5700.

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