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Market jitters start to creep in again after the cautious optimism yesterday

The early moves today are a pullback to what we saw in trading yesterday. Oil prices are up and so are Treasury yields, which in turn are weighing on equities and precious metals again. And in the major currencies space, the dollar is once again creeping higher across the board.Putting aside all the noise about whether or not there were talks between the US and Iran, it is clear that Trump has signaled that we might just be entering a new phase in the conflict. We’ve seen this playbook by him before. It is the exact same thing that he stuck with when dealing with China on trade/tariffs.It’s all the same kind of words being used. “I didn’t call, they called”. “Talks were very good and very productive”. “They want to make a deal”.Knowing Trump, he always wants to sell the narrative that he is the one who won the art of the deal. However, the difference this time is that Iran will hold significant leverage as they are staying in control of the Strait of Hormuz. It would not make much sense for them to give that up, while at the same time also compromising to US demands.In any case, we’ll just have to wait and see. But the fact of the matter is, the Strait of Hormuz remains in de facto closure for now. And that is still the most important thing for markets.Sure, strikes against Iranian power plants are postponed for five days (Israel doesn’t agree though).However, there’s still no passage for commercial vessels along the strait and so that means another week of having to deal with the ongoing status quo.Unless something changes on the Strait of Hormuz, nothing changes for markets.WTI crude oil is up 3% on the day to $91.60 now, while 10-year Treasury yields are back to closing levels on Friday at 4.38%.Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures are down 0.5% and that might invite some pressure on US stocks as we revisit the potential technical break lower from Friday. And in the major currencies space, the dollar is up across the board with EUR/USD down 0.3% to 1.1580 and AUD/USD down by 0.6% to 0.6965 currently.It’s not shaping up well for precious metals either as the rebound yesterday begins to lose its lustre. Gold is down 1.4% to $4,343 while silver is down a little over 3% to $66.95 at the moment.
This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.

๐Ÿ”— Source

๐Ÿ’ก DMK Insight

Oil prices rising and Treasury yields climbing are shaking up the markets right now. With the dollar gaining strength, traders should keep an eye on how this affects equities and precious metals. The correlation between rising yields and a stronger dollar often leads to a risk-off sentiment, pushing investors away from commodities and into safer assets. If oil continues its upward trend, it could further pressure inflation expectations, which might lead the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance longer than anticipated. Watch for key levels in the S&P 500 and gold; a break below recent support could trigger more selling. On the flip side, if oil prices stabilize or reverse, we could see a rebound in risk assets. Traders should monitor the 10-year Treasury yield closely; any significant movement could dictate market sentiment in the coming days. Keep an eye on the dollar index as well; a strong close above recent highs could signal further dollar strength, impacting currency pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD significantly.

๐Ÿ“ฎ Takeaway

Watch the 10-year Treasury yield and dollar index closely; a strong dollar could pressure equities and precious metals further in the short term.

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