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JPY: Japan election risk impacts yen – MUFG

Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst at MUFG, notes the impact of Japan’s election risk on the Japanese Yen. The USD/JPY has risen above the 157.00-level, driven by expectations that the ruling coalition will strengthen its majority.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

The USD/JPY breaking above 157.00 is a significant signal for traders, reflecting heightened confidence in Japan’s ruling coalition. This move isn’t just about local politics; it ties into broader market dynamics, especially as traders weigh the implications of potential monetary policy shifts. A stronger majority could lead to more aggressive fiscal measures, impacting inflation expectations and, consequently, the Bank of Japan’s stance on interest rates. If the USD/JPY maintains this level, it could trigger further bullish momentum, with the next psychological resistance around 160.00. But here’s the flip side: if the election results don’t meet expectations, we could see a sharp reversal. Traders should keep an eye on the upcoming election date and any pre-election polls that might sway sentiment. Watch for volatility spikes around these events, as they could create both risks and opportunities for short-term trades.

📮 Takeaway

Monitor the USD/JPY around the 157.00 level; a sustained break could lead to a push towards 160.00, but watch for election-related volatility.

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