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investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: JPY and AUD both climb

Yuan eases (just a little bit) on soft inflation despite firm PBOC guidanceHouse vote failure opens door to Trump tariff repeal effortsING sees yen recovery as BOJ tightening contrasts with Fed cutsChina inflation misses forecasts as producer deflation persistsRBA’s Hauser says inflation too high, vows action to return to target. AUD jumps.China January CPI 0.2% y/y (expected 0.4%)PBOC sets USD/ CNY mid-point today at 6.9438 (vs. estimate at 6.9109)Australia housing finance jumps in Q4 as markets weigh May RBA hikeICYMI – PBOC pledges loose policy, ample liquidity in Q4 reportGoldman flags substantial downside risk to January jobs reportWestpac sees RBNZ holding OCR, nudging first rate hike to December 2026Ford posts largest earnings miss in four years but flags 2026 reboundICYMI, gold bulls galore: JPMorgan $8,000 decade-end gold scenarioICYMI – Fed officials signal patience as rates seen near neutral and inflation lingersinvestingLive Americas market news wrap: US retail sales disappointPrivate survey of inventory shows huge headline crude oil build, much more than expectedAt a glance:Japan closed for holiday; yen strengthened below 153.40China CPI undershot; PPI deflation persistedPBOC set strongest yuan fix since May 2023AUD hit fresh three-year highs on hawkish RBA toneMarkets pricing ~70% chance of May RBA hikeRegional equities edged higherIt was a Japanese market holiday today, with cash equities and bond trading closed. The yen nevertheless strengthened in regional trade, with USD/JPY dipping below 153.40 in Asian centres. There was no obvious fresh catalyst. Market commentary cited fading concerns about a fiscal crunch in Japan and ongoing divergence between Bank of Japan tightening and Federal Reserve easing.I’m not entirely convinced by that narrative. On Tuesday (US time), Federal Reserve regional presidents Beth Hammack and Lorie Logan struck steady-to-hawkish tones rather than dovish ones, suggesting the Fed is in no hurry to ease further.From China, January inflation data showed CPI rising less than expected while producer price deflation persisted. Prior to the release, the People’s Bank of China set the USD/CNY reference rate at its strongest level for the yuan since 11 May 2023. The yuan softened modestly after the data but has since recovered some ground, reinforcing the broader theme of managed stability rather than disorderly weakness.The Australian dollar was a solid performer. AUD/USD climbed to a fresh three-year high, briefly moving above 0.7125 and marking its first sustained push above 0.71 since early 2023. The currency also gained against the euro, reaching an 11-month high, and rose to its strongest level against the New Zealand dollar in nearly 13 years.Support came after RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser reiterated that inflation remains too high and capacity constraints are evident in the economy. The RBA raised its cash rate to 3.85% last week, and markets now price roughly a 70% probability of a further hike to 4.10% at the May meeting.Regional equities traded modestly higher, reflecting a broadly steady risk tone across Asia.
Asia-Pac
stocks:
Japan
(Nikkei 225) closed for a holidayHong
Kong (Hang Seng) +0.43%
Shanghai
Composite +0.22%Australia
(S&P/ASX 200) +1.64%
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

đź”— Source

đź’ˇ DMK Insight

China’s inflation miss and the PBOC’s firm stance are shaking up the forex market right now. With the yuan easing slightly, traders should keep an eye on how this affects USD/CNY pairs. The PBOC’s guidance suggests a commitment to stability, but persistent deflation in producer prices could signal deeper economic issues. This could lead to volatility in related currencies, especially the yen, as the BOJ’s tightening contrasts sharply with the Fed’s easing. If the RBA also takes action, we might see a ripple effect across the Asia-Pacific currencies. Watch for key levels in USD/CNY and consider how this could impact your positions in other pairs like AUD/USD or JPY/USD. The immediate focus should be on inflation metrics and central bank signals, as these will dictate market sentiment in the coming weeks.

đź“® Takeaway

Monitor USD/CNY closely; a break above recent highs could signal further yuan weakness amid ongoing inflation concerns.

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