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Forecasting the upcoming week: Inflation is key to the FX market

The US Dollar (USD) lacked directional momentum this week amid geopolitical and local uncertainty.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

The USD’s stagnation reflects broader market anxieties, and here’s why that matters: geopolitical tensions and local uncertainties are creating a fog for traders. With the dollar lacking clear direction, day traders might want to focus on volatility indicators like the VIX or look for breakout patterns in correlated assets like gold or oil. If the geopolitical landscape shifts, we could see sudden moves in the dollar, so keeping an eye on news cycles is crucial. Also, watch for any changes in interest rate expectations from the Fed, as that could provide the catalyst the USD needs to break out of its current range. On the flip side, if the dollar remains range-bound, it could signal a potential consolidation phase, which might lead to opportunities in pairs like EUR/USD or GBP/USD as traders look for relative strength or weakness. The key here is to stay nimble and ready to react to any sudden shifts in sentiment.

📮 Takeaway

Monitor geopolitical developments and Fed signals closely; a shift could trigger significant moves in the USD and related currency pairs.

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