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The Fed’s Musalem:I could support a path with another cut if more risk to jobs emerge and inflation remains containedFed should not be on a preset course, and followed balance approachSees limited space before rate cuts would make policy accomodativeImportant for the Fed to be cautious right nowDoes not make decisions on one data point amid broader shutdown.Important for the Fed to go meeting by meeting on policy deliberationWeare in a particulary uncertain momentIt is premature what to say comes with FOMC meetings after OctoberTariff impact still flowing into the economyTariffs will work through the economy into the middle of next yearRetailer are feeling increased pressure to pass on tariffsConsumers facing firms facing more trouble passing throuh tariffsPurchasing power still an issue for many AmericansInflation is still a very big thing for consumers it is really important for the Fed to get inflation back to 2%.Some are saying non-interest rate related costs matter more right now.Tariffs don’t appear to be passing through to services.Services inflation has been at high level, need more work to lower.He is totally committed to a target of 2%, believes Fed supports the same.By 2nd half of 2026 will move back toward 2% inflation, but needs policy to lean against inflation.Business contacts say that the jobs market has cooled.Labor market is not a source of inflation. The job market is near full employment right now.Job gains have been affected by immigration changesjob market breakeven is between 30,000 and 80,000.We could see negative payroll prints but unemployment may not move.It is not seeing any increase in layoffs.We are not in imminent problem for job market but risks have increased.Monetary policy is somewhere between restrictive and neutral.Financial conditions are accommodative right nowEquity prices are not a key part of thinking about the economy.He always have to worry about credit market risks.Credit conditions are really good now.Low probability that the Fed leader will not be qualified
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.
💡 DMK Insight
In a world where central banks often seem like theyâre playing a high-stakes game of Jenga, the Fed's Musalem is advocating for a careful, measured approachâthink of it as a financial tightrope walk. With the job market hanging in the balance and inflation behaving itself, the Fed is right to avoid any knee-jerk reactions. Itâs a delicate dance, and while traders might be itching for clarity, the reality is that a cautious Fed is a sign of a maturing economy, not a stalling one. So, letâs keep our eyes peeled; the next move could be a subtle nudge rather than a bold leap.
📮 Takeaway
A cautious Fed signals maturity in the economy, reminding us that sometimes, slow and steady wins the race.
