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China: Weaker Q4 despite December rebound – Standard Chartered

Official manufacturing PMI returned to expansionary territory in December as new orders recovered m/m. The 2Y CAGR for real activity and trade likely picked up thanks to improved demand.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

Manufacturing PMI bouncing back is a crucial signal for traders right now. A return to expansion indicates increased demand, which could lead to stronger economic growth and potentially higher interest rates. This is particularly relevant for forex traders, as currency pairs like USD/EUR might react to shifts in economic sentiment. If the PMI continues to rise, watch for potential resistance levels around recent highs, as traders may adjust their positions based on anticipated central bank actions. However, it’s worth noting that while this uptick in manufacturing is positive, it could also lead to inflationary pressures, prompting central banks to tighten monetary policy sooner than expected. Keep an eye on the upcoming economic releases and market reactions, especially in the commodities sector, as they might reflect broader economic trends. For now, focus on the PMI’s trajectory and how it correlates with your trading strategies, especially if you’re in the forex or commodities markets.

📮 Takeaway

Watch the manufacturing PMI closely; if it continues to rise, expect potential shifts in forex pairs and commodities, especially around key resistance levels.

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