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China: Growth seen improving in 1Q – DBS

DBS Group Research economists Byron Lam and Daisy Sharma present a China GDP Nowcast indicating real GDP growth likely improved to 4.7% in 1Q 2026 from 4.5% in Q4 2025.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

China’s GDP growth ticking up to 4.7% is a key signal for traders: This uptick, albeit modest, suggests a potential stabilization in the Chinese economy, which could influence global markets, especially commodities and currencies tied to China. For forex traders, this could mean a stronger yuan, impacting pairs like USD/CNY. If the trend continues, it might also affect the broader sentiment in Asian markets, leading to increased risk appetite. Traders should keep an eye on related assets, such as copper and oil, which often react to Chinese economic data. However, it’s worth questioning whether this growth is sustainable or just a temporary bounce. If the global economic outlook remains shaky, any gains could be short-lived. Watch for upcoming economic indicators and geopolitical developments that could sway market sentiment. In the immediate term, keep an eye on the 4.5% level as a potential support for the yuan, and monitor how this GDP data influences commodity prices in the coming weeks.

📮 Takeaway

Watch for the yuan’s reaction around the 4.5% GDP level, as sustained growth could strengthen it against the dollar, impacting USD/CNY trades.

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