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BoJ Governor Ueda: Certainty of BoJ's outlook materialising is increasing gradually

Won’t comment on specifics on interest ratesLong-term rates are rising rather rapidly recentlyWill increase JGB purchases if long-term rates make abrupt movesWill pay close attention to market movesReal interest rates are significantly lowWill adjust degree of monetary easing if economic, prices trends move in line with forecastsGathering information on companies’ stance on wages for next yearLabour market is tightening, increasing upward pressure on wages and pricesBy adjusting degree of monetary policy, we can ensure stability of financial markets and realise price stabilityThere’s really nothing new here from Ueda. The market already knows the BoJ is going to hike at the upcoming meeting with the probabilities now standing around 76%. This makes it a done deal because they certainly won’t want to deliver a dovish surprise by keeping rates steady. In 2026, the market is fully pricing in another 25 bps hike.
This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

Rising long-term rates are shaking up the market, and here’s why that matters for traders: The recent uptick in long-term interest rates signals a potential shift in monetary policy that could impact various asset classes. If the Bank of Japan (BoJ) increases its JGB purchases in response to these movements, it could lead to volatility in both the bond and equity markets. Traders should be on the lookout for how this affects the yen and related currency pairs, especially if the BoJ adjusts its easing measures based on economic forecasts. Real interest rates remain low, which complicates the landscape; if inflation expectations rise, we could see a significant market reaction. Here’s the flip side: while some may view rising rates as a negative for equities, they can also indicate a strengthening economy. If companies start reporting better-than-expected earnings, it could offset some of the negative sentiment around higher borrowing costs. Keep an eye on key economic indicators and corporate earnings reports in the coming weeks, as they could provide clues on how to position your trades moving forward.

📮 Takeaway

Watch for the BoJ’s response to rising long-term rates; key economic indicators and corporate earnings will be crucial for positioning in the coming weeks.

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