• bitcoinBitcoin (BTC) $ 103,715.00
  • ethereumEthereum (ETH) $ 3,540.32
  • tetherTether (USDT) $ 0.999853
  • xrpXRP (XRP) $ 2.50
  • bnbBNB (BNB) $ 967.19
  • solanaWrapped SOL (SOL) $ 156.99
  • usd-coinUSDC (USDC) $ 0.999802
  • staked-etherLido Staked Ether (STETH) $ 3,537.47
  • tronTRON (TRX) $ 0.297853
  • dogecoinDogecoin (DOGE) $ 0.176197

Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle is broken, and this time, data proves it

Data shows that BTC’s “average annual returns have gradually declined, with no peaks at all in the last cycle, confirming the hypothesis that Bitcoin’s risk/return structure has changed.”

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

Bitcoin’s average annual returns are on a downward trend, and here’s why that matters: The data suggests that traders need to reassess their expectations around BTC, especially with the current price at $101,685. The absence of peaks in the last cycle indicates a structural shift in Bitcoin’s risk/return profile. This could lead to more cautious trading strategies, particularly for those relying on historical performance to guide their positions. If you’re a day trader or swing trader, consider tightening your stop-loss orders and focusing on shorter timeframes to mitigate potential losses. Moreover, this trend could ripple through correlated assets like Ethereum and altcoins, which often follow Bitcoin’s lead. If BTC continues to show declining returns, it may trigger a broader market correction, impacting investor sentiment across the board. Keep an eye on key support levels around $100,000; a breach could signal further downside. Watch for institutional movements as well, as they might react differently to this evolving risk landscape.

📮 Takeaway

Monitor Bitcoin’s support at $100,000 closely; a break could lead to broader market corrections and affect altcoins significantly.

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