Bitcoin’s Sharpe ratio has fallen to -10, nearing bear market lows seen in 2018 and 2022, suggesting the risk/reward profile is approaching extreme levels.
💡 DMK Insight
Bitcoin’s Sharpe ratio hitting -10 is a red flag for risk-averse traders right now. This metric indicates that the risk/reward profile for Bitcoin is deteriorating, similar to the lows seen during previous bear markets in 2018 and 2022. When the Sharpe ratio is this low, it suggests that the potential returns are not justifying the risks involved, which could lead to further selling pressure. Traders should be cautious, as this could trigger a cascade effect, impacting not just Bitcoin but also altcoins that often follow its lead. Watch for key support levels around recent lows; a break below these could signal a deeper downturn. On the flip side, contrarian traders might see this as a potential buying opportunity if they believe in Bitcoin’s long-term fundamentals. However, it’s crucial to monitor market sentiment and volume closely. If we see a significant uptick in selling volume, it could indicate that the bearish trend is gaining momentum. Keep an eye on the next few daily closes to gauge whether this trend continues or reverses.
📮 Takeaway
Watch Bitcoin’s support levels closely; a break below recent lows could trigger further selling, while a rebound might signal a buying opportunity.






