VanEck says bitcoin’s downturn is being driven by mid-cycle wallets while the oldest holders keep accumulating, with futures data showing washed-out market conditions.
💡 DMK Insight
Bitcoin’s current downturn is revealing a split in holder behavior: while mid-cycle wallets are selling, long-term holders are accumulating. This divergence is crucial for traders to understand. The selling pressure from newer investors often leads to short-term volatility, but the accumulation by seasoned holders suggests confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value. Futures data indicating washed-out market conditions could mean that the selling has reached a saturation point, potentially setting the stage for a rebound. Traders should keep an eye on key support levels, as a bounce from these could signal a shift in sentiment. However, it’s worth questioning whether the accumulation by older holders is enough to counteract the selling pressure from mid-cycle wallets. If the latter continues to offload, we might see further downside before any recovery. Watch for a potential reversal around established support levels, and monitor futures contracts for signs of renewed buying interest.
📮 Takeaway
Keep an eye on Bitcoin’s support levels; if long-term holders continue accumulating while mid-cycle wallets sell, a rebound could be imminent.




