Bitcoin price prediction and technical analysis as rebound holds above key VWAP zones

Bitcoin rebound analysis today – what traders and investors should focus on after a 21% surgeHave a good week, crypto traders and investors. I know many of you are wondering if the rebound we started seeing on ate Thursday and Friday is the real thing or not. I will start with my video before diving into additional aspects.Bitcoin futures are trading near $71,155, extending a sharp rebound that started late last week. From the recent futures low near $60,005, price has already advanced more than 21% in roughly 48 hours, which is a significant move by any standard, especially after a prolonged bearish phase.This type of rebound naturally raises a key question for traders and investors alike:Is Bitcoin starting a genuine base for a larger recovery, or is this simply a fast counter-trend bounce that still needs to be tested?This update blends Bitcoin technical analysis, price-based decision levels, and underlying market participation insights to help frame that question more clearly.Market snapshot – where Bitcoin stands right nowThe broader crypto market remains fragile after weeks of downside pressure, but Bitcoin has clearly stabilized for now. Price is currently trading above recent value zones, and importantly, it has stayed well above its most recent session VWAPs since Friday.That tells us one thing with confidence:
The rebound is being respected so far. Sellers have not been able to immediately push price back into the lower part of the range.However, after a move of this size, the real information does not come from the rally itself. It comes from how Bitcoin behaves on the next pullback.What underlying activity suggests about the rebound in Bitcoin FuturesFrom a participation perspective, selling pressure has lost efficiency.Earlier in the decline, downside attempts were accepted quickly, with price moving lower without much resistance. That dynamic has shifted. Over the last several sessions:Downside pushes have struggled to gain follow-throughBuyers have shown up faster on pullbacksPrice has remained elevated relative to recent session benchmarksThis does not automatically mean a new bull trend has started. What it does suggest is that the market has moved from forced liquidation into two-sided trade, which is often the first step in base-building.For newer traders, this is an important concept:Markets rarely move directly from bearish to bullish. Most major transitions go through a trading range phase, where price oscillates up and down while stronger participants accumulate gradually.Key Bitcoin price levels to watch – specific and actionable zonesFirst support zone – re-entry into value$67,750 to $67,165This is a very tight and important area defined by recent VWAPs.If Bitcoin pulls back from current levels and holds this zone, it would be a healthy sign that buyers are defending value.If price re-enters this zone and then fails to reclaim it, that would suggest the rebound is losing structure and slipping back toward balance.In simple terms for beginners:
This is where the market decides whether the rebound is being bought or faded.Secondary support for Bitcoin Futures – accumulation logic$65,600This level sits below the first VWAP cluster and represents a deeper pullback zone that often becomes relevant during base-building.If this rebound is part of a larger transition, buyers may prefer to accumulate on legs down, not at highs. This area fits that behavior well.Deeper support for Bitcoin Futures – major bull priority$63,855If price loses $65,600, this becomes the next critical area.If bulls are serious about defending the broader rebound, this is where participation would need to increase meaningfully. Failure here would significantly weaken the bullish case.Upside magnet and resistance for for Bitcoin futures today (or this week)$74,970 to $75,000This zone aligns with multiple prior reference levels and acts as a clear price magnet.A sustained move into and acceptance above this area would strengthen the case that Bitcoin is shifting from rebound into early recovery.A sharp rejection here would not be surprising and would likely trigger profit-taking and a rotation back toward support.Longer-term vs recent behavior in crypto – why this mattersFrom a longer-term perspective, Bitcoin, as the known leader of crypto, is still repairing damage from the broader downtrend. That has not disappeared overnight.From a shorter-term perspective, behavior has improved meaningfully. The market is no longer cascading lower, and rebounds are being respected.When these two views conflict, markets often resolve that tension through range development, not immediate continuation in either direction.Educational takeaway for newer tradersOne of the most common mistakes newer participants make is expecting a straight-line recovery after a sharp selloff.Professional participants typically:Accumulate during pullbacksScale in over timeDefend value areas, not chase highsIf this rebound is real, it will likely survive multiple pullbacks. If it cannot survive even the first meaningful retracement, it was probably just a bounce.Market bias score for BitcoinMarket bias score: +2 (slightly bullish, still cautious)This reflects improving balance and reduced downside pressure, but not a confirmed trend reversal. The score would improve if price holds above the VWAP support zone during a pullback, and weaken if acceptance develops below it.Trade management example – ETH long update (educational)To illustrate risk management during rebounds, here is an updated example from the channel, shared for educational purposes only.ETHEREUM (ETH) – LONG-TERM BUY PLAN (UPDATE)All buy orders were filled:1,9651,8941,826Average entry: 1,895Original stop: 1,716
Updated stop: moved to average entry at 1,895Take profit adjustment:TP1 was lowered to 2,092TP1 has already been takenRemaining position is now effectively risk-managedThis is a common approach during sharp rebounds: reduce risk early, secure part of the move, and allow the remainder to participate if the larger recovery develops.What would change the Bitcoin viewSustained acceptance below $67,165Failure of buyers to respond on deeper pullbacksRenewed downside follow-through across recent sessionsWith a score of +2 from the investingLive orderFlow Intel, the bulls are looking a little better than the bears, at the time of this analysisRisk note for crypto traders and investorsThis analysis is intended for educational and decision-support purposes only. It is not financial advice. Crypto markets are volatile, and all trading and investing decisions carry risk.For real-time trade ideas, follow-ups, and market insights across stocks, indices, commodities, and crypto, check out the investingLive Stocks Telegram channel. Trade ideas are shared for educational purposes only and at your own risk.https://t.me/investingLiveStocks
This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

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