USD/JPY consolidates on Monday after opening the week with a bearish gap as the US Dollar (USD) comes under pressure amid growing optimism that the United States (US) and Iran are moving closer toward a deal that could eventually reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
💡 DMK Insight
The USD/JPY’s bearish gap signals a shift in sentiment, and here’s why that matters: With the US Dollar facing pressure, traders should keep an eye on geopolitical developments, particularly any progress in US-Iran negotiations. A deal could lead to a more stable oil supply, impacting inflation and interest rate expectations in the US. If the USD continues to weaken, we might see the USD/JPY testing support levels around 148.00. On the flip side, if risk appetite increases, the Japanese Yen could lose ground as investors flock to higher-yielding assets. This dynamic could create volatility in both forex and related markets like commodities, especially oil. Watch for any news from the Strait of Hormuz that could trigger sudden moves in the USD/JPY, as well as oil prices, which are closely tied to the currency pair’s performance. In the short term, monitor the 148.00 level for potential support; a break below could signal further downside for the USD/JPY, while a rebound could indicate renewed strength in the Dollar.
📮 Takeaway
Watch the 148.00 support level in USD/JPY; a break could lead to further downside as geopolitical tensions evolve.





