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Aluminium: EU ETS reform raises cost risks – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Norman Liebke highlights that EU ETS reform, including new benchmark calculations, could significantly raise costs for European Aluminium recyclers and refineries.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

EU ETS reform could hit aluminium recyclers hard, and here’s why that’s crucial for traders: With new benchmark calculations on the horizon, costs for European aluminium recyclers and refineries are set to rise. This isn’t just a minor tweak; it could reshape pricing dynamics in the aluminium market. Traders should keep an eye on how these changes might affect supply chains and overall production costs. If recyclers pass on these costs, we could see a ripple effect not only in aluminium prices but also in related sectors like construction and automotive, where aluminium is a key material. Look for technical levels around recent price action in aluminium futures. If prices start breaking above resistance levels, it could signal a bullish trend driven by these cost pressures. On the flip side, if the market reacts negatively to these reforms, we might see a sell-off, especially if traders feel that demand won’t keep pace with rising costs. Watch for any announcements or detailed reports on the ETS reform, as they could provide critical insights into market direction.

📮 Takeaway

Monitor aluminium prices closely; a breakout above recent resistance could indicate a bullish trend driven by rising costs from EU ETS reforms.

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