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Silver outperforms gold amid positive drivers but new record highs will need Fed support

FUNDAMENTAL
OVERVIEWSilver has been outperforming
gold recently amid tailwinds like lower real yields, looser financial
conditions and lower US dollar. The momentum and volatility have certainly not
been the same since the late Januaryโ€™s crash. The key difference has been the Fed
which has pivoted away from the dovish stance. Nonetheless, silver should
remain supported amid the positive US-Iran deal expectations which should keep
any downside limited. Everything now hinges on
US-Iran talks. If negotiations were to collapse again, we might get a bigger pullback,
but as long as the ceasefire holds, the losses should remain limited. On the
other hand, a peace deal might give silver another boost to extend the rally
into new highs. For a much stronger rally though, silver would need the Fed to
pivot back to a dovish stance.SILVER TECHNICAL
ANALYSIS โ€“ DAILY TIMEFRAMEOn the daily chart, we can
see that silver is continuing to slowly edge higher amid the positive US-Iran
expectations. The natural target for the buyers is the major swing level at
96.35. If the price gets there, we can expect the sellers to step in with a
defined risk above the swing level to position for a drop back into the 70.00
handle. The buyers, on the other hand, will look for a break to increase the
bullish bets into the 120.00 level next.SILVER TECHNICAL ANALYSIS โ€“
4 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 4 hour chart, we can
see that the price broke above the key 77.98 resistance opening the door for
more upside. We have an upward trendline defining the bullish momentum. If we
get a pullback into the trendline, we can expect the buyers to lean on it with
a defined risk below it to keep pushing into new highs. The sellers, on the
other hand, will look for a break to pile in for a drop into the major
trendline around the 67.50 level.SILVER TECHNICAL ANALYSIS โ€“
1 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 1 hour chart, the
recent consolidation above the 77.98 level might have formed a bullish flag. We
can expect the buyers to step in around the lower bound of the pattern to keep
pushing into new highs and increase the bullish bets on a break above the upper
bound of the flag. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break below
the lower bound of the flag to extend the pullback into the upward trendline targeting
a break below it. The red lines define the average daily range for today.
This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

๐Ÿ”— Source

๐Ÿ’ก DMK Insight

Silver’s recent outperformance over gold is a signal traders can’t ignore right now. With lower real yields and a weaker US dollar, silver is benefiting from a favorable macro backdrop. The Fed’s shift away from a dovish stance has created a different environment compared to the late January crash, and this change is crucial for traders to consider. If the trend continues, silver could see further upside, especially if it breaks through key resistance levels. Watch for silver to maintain momentum above its recent highs, as this could trigger additional buying from both retail and institutional investors. On the flip side, if the Fed hints at tightening again, we might see a quick reversal in sentiment, impacting both silver and gold prices. Keep an eye on the next Fed meeting for potential volatility. Traders should monitor silver’s price action closely, particularly if it approaches significant resistance levels. A sustained move above these levels could indicate a strong bullish trend, while a failure to hold could signal a pullback.

๐Ÿ“ฎ Takeaway

Watch silver closely; a break above recent highs could signal strong bullish momentum, especially with the Fed’s next meeting on the horizon.

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