UOB’s Alvin Liew notes that the March FOMC minutes show a divided Federal Reserve but with most officials more worried about US labor markets than inflation, implying a tilt toward future rate cuts.
💡 DMK Insight
The Fed’s focus on labor markets over inflation could signal rate cuts ahead, and here’s why that matters: Traders should pay close attention to the implications of a divided Federal Reserve. If the majority are leaning towards concerns about labor markets, it suggests a potential shift in monetary policy that could favor rate cuts. This could lead to a weaker dollar, impacting forex pairs, particularly USD/EUR and USD/JPY. A weaker dollar often boosts commodities and crypto assets, so keep an eye on gold and Bitcoin as they might react positively. But don’t overlook the risks. If inflation remains stubbornly high, the Fed could pivot back, leading to volatility. Watch for upcoming economic indicators, especially employment data, which could provide clues on the Fed’s next move. Key levels to monitor include the 1.10 resistance in EUR/USD and the $30,000 mark for Bitcoin. If these levels break, we could see significant price action in both markets.
📮 Takeaway
Watch for labor market data closely; a shift towards rate cuts could weaken the dollar and boost crypto and commodity prices, especially if key levels are breached.





