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US doubts Iran deadline extension as tough response seen as negotiating tactic (Axios)

US signals fading patience on Iran deadline but keeps door open to last-minute deal.Summary:US doubts another deadline extension

Iran’s response seen as tough but tactical

White House views stance as negotiating posture

Trump open to any deal outcome

Military action may still be delayed if talks progress

Situation remains finely balanced between escalation and diplomacyFresh commentary from US officials, cited by Axios, suggests rising uncertainty around the next phase of the US-Iran standoff, with the window for diplomacy narrowing but not yet closed.According to a US official, Washington has doubts about extending the current deadline again, signalling that patience within the administration may be wearing thin after repeated delays. This raises the risk that previously postponed military action could move back into focus if diplomatic progress stalls.At the same time, while the Iranian response to recent US proposals has been characterised as “tough”, the White House is interpreting this not as an outright rejection, but rather as a negotiating tactic aimed at extracting concessions. This distinction is important, as it suggests that backchannel engagement remains active and that both sides may still be probing for a workable compromise.US officials also indicated that President Trump is willing to accept a deal that can be reached, underscoring a pragmatic approach to negotiations. That said, there is lingering uncertainty over whether Tehran is prepared to finalise an agreement, particularly given the mixed signals seen in recent weeks, with Iran alternating between denying talks and acknowledging indirect communication through intermediaries.Crucially, the US is keeping optionality around military action. Officials noted that Trump could still delay any planned operation against Iran if there is a credible pathway toward an agreement. This reinforces the now-familiar dual-track strategy of maintaining pressure while leaving the door open for diplomacy.Overall, the latest messaging points to a finely balanced situation. While the tone suggests increasing urgency and some erosion of willingness to extend timelines, the presence of ongoing negotiations and conditional flexibility on military action indicates that a deal remains possible, albeit far from guaranteed.
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

The US’s wavering stance on Iran’s deadline is a critical moment for traders: it could shift oil prices dramatically. As tensions rise, traders should keep an eye on crude oil futures, especially if military action becomes a real possibility. The market’s reaction to geopolitical events can be swift, and any escalation could push prices above key resistance levels. Currently, oil is sensitive to news; a spike in volatility is likely if negotiations break down. On the flip side, if a last-minute deal emerges, we could see a significant pullback in oil prices, potentially testing support levels. Watch for any updates from the White House, as they could trigger rapid market movements. In the broader context, this situation could also affect currencies tied to oil exports, like the Canadian dollar. If oil prices surge, CAD could strengthen against the USD. So, keep an eye on the CAD/USD pair as well. The next few days are crucial—monitor news closely for any shifts in the negotiation landscape.

📮 Takeaway

Watch for updates on US-Iran negotiations; a breakdown could spike oil prices above resistance, while a deal may lead to a pullback.

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