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USD/JPY: BoJ wage dynamics back further hikes – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that USD/JPY is trading directionless just below 159.00 as Japanese inflation slowed in February but is expected to rebound.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

USD/JPY is stuck just below 159.00, and here’s why that matters: With Japanese inflation slowing, traders are likely reassessing their positions. A rebound in inflation could push the Bank of Japan to reconsider its ultra-loose monetary policy, which has kept the yen under pressure. If inflation data surprises to the upside, we could see a shift in sentiment that drives USD/JPY above the 160.00 mark, triggering stop-loss orders and further buying pressure. On the flip side, if inflation remains subdued, the pair might linger in this range, leading to potential consolidation or even a dip back towards 157.00. Keep an eye on upcoming inflation reports and any comments from BOJ officials, as these could be pivotal in shaping market expectations. For now, watch the 159.00 level closely; a decisive break could signal a new trend, while failure to breach it might lead to a more extended period of sideways trading. Traders should also monitor correlated assets like JPY crosses for broader market sentiment shifts.

📮 Takeaway

Watch for a break above 159.00 in USD/JPY; a move above could signal a bullish trend if inflation rebounds.

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