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As such, our willingness to intervene has increasedThe upward pressure on the franc has increased once againThe franc is sought after as a safe haven in times of uncertaintyIt is 2.5% stronger on a trade-weighted basis since the middle of DecemberWe are ready to counter a rapid and excessive rise of the franc currencyAppreciation of franc in recent weeks is typical during times of uncertaintyHigher energy prices mean inflation likely to rise more strongly in coming quartersBut medium-term inflationary pressure is virtually unchangedWe are still ready to use negative rates if necessary to meet our targetOur mandate is clear in that we will use all tools necessary to achieve thatHe’s getting straight to the point here and that is the kind of thing market players like to see. Sure, it won’t go down well with the US and their accusations of currency manipulation. But hey, this is something we all know is happening but often times never say out loud.I reckon the SNB is being more vocal and serious this time in getting the message across as we are pushing the limits of their intervention appetite as well. With EUR/CHF sticking close to the pivotal 0.90 line, it is a real test of their pain threshold. At some point last week, it looked like the central bank might’ve let that go by when price fell below the figure level here.Considering that they don’t want to dip back into unconventional monetary policy again yet, it just means that FX intervention is the only play to counteract further deflationary pressures in Switzerland. You can bet that the SNB cannot wait for this whole Middle East conflict to be over and done with. It really has been a rather untimely incident for them.
This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.
💡 DMK Insight
The Swiss franc’s recent 2.5% strength signals a growing demand for safe havens amid market uncertainty. Traders should note that this uptick could prompt the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to intervene if the franc appreciates too rapidly. With geopolitical tensions and economic instability on the rise, the franc’s appeal as a refuge is likely to persist. This could lead to volatility in forex pairs involving the franc, particularly against the euro and dollar. Watch for key resistance levels around recent highs, as a breach could trigger further buying pressure. Conversely, if the SNB steps in, it may create a short-term dip, presenting a potential buying opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the franc’s long-term strength.
📮 Takeaway
Monitor the Swiss franc closely; a rapid rise could provoke SNB intervention, impacting EUR/CHF and USD/CHF pairs significantly.
