In our update from December 19 last year, we introduced mid-term election-year seasonality, showing an important peak would be due around April 18. See Figure 1 below. A seasonality chart is based on closing prices and portrays relative price movement.
💡 DMK Insight
April 18 is shaping up to be a key date for market movements, and here’s why: Election-year seasonality often brings volatility, and traders should prepare for potential price swings as we approach this date. Historically, mid-term elections can lead to increased trading activity and shifts in investor sentiment, particularly in sectors sensitive to political changes. As we near April, keep an eye on how major indices respond—if they start trending up or down, it could signal broader market sentiment leading into the election. Also, consider how this may impact correlated assets like commodities or currencies, especially those tied to government policy. If you’re trading equities, watch for any significant price levels around this time, as breakouts or reversals could provide actionable opportunities. The real story is that while many traders might overlook this seasonal trend, those who capitalize on it could gain an edge in their strategies.
📮 Takeaway
Mark April 18 on your calendar; it could trigger significant market volatility tied to election-year seasonality.




