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Prior -0.5%; revised to -0.4%Swiss economic output bounces back in the final quarter of last year, after a drag in the third quarter. The decline was largely due to a big fall in the chemical and pharmaceutical industry, but that has now rebounded (+1.9%) in Q4 2025. Domestic demand conditions (+0.5%) held up and was supportive in the final quarter, helping to push up growth.Looking to the overall 2025 picture, Swiss GDP grew by 1.4% on the year. And that marks an improvement from the 1.2% reading in 2024. SECO notes that:”Domestic demand supported economic activity, largely driven by solid growth in private consumption. In contrast, foreign trade slowed GDP growth, as exports grew at a below-average
rate while imports rose significantly.”General economic conditions look to be holding up for Switzerland, so that at least provides a buffer for the SNB. That as they are having a tough task in dealing with deflationary pressures once again. Swiss inflation is teetering just above the zero mark and having to balance that out against a strong currency is the struggle that the central bank is facing right now.That will be the key theme in the months ahead for Switzerland, especially since EUR/CHF has already broken the 2025 lows and is keeping just above 0.91 for now.
This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.
💡 DMK Insight
Swiss economic output rebounding is a key signal for traders focused on European markets. The revision from -0.5% to -0.4% indicates a more resilient economy than previously thought, particularly with the chemical and pharmaceutical sectors bouncing back by 1.9% in Q4 2025. This recovery could influence the Swiss Franc (CHF) positively, especially if domestic demand continues to strengthen. Traders should watch for how this impacts the EUR/CHF pair, as a stronger CHF could lead to a shift in trading strategies. If the trend holds, we might see increased bullish sentiment in Swiss equities, particularly in sectors tied to the rebound. However, it’s worth noting that while the rebound is promising, it’s essential to keep an eye on global economic conditions that could affect Swiss exports. If external demand falters, the recovery might stall. For now, monitor the CHF against major currencies and look for any signs of volatility in the upcoming economic reports. Key levels to watch would be the support around recent lows in the EUR/CHF pair, which could indicate a reversal if breached.
📮 Takeaway
Watch the EUR/CHF pair closely; a sustained recovery in Swiss output could strengthen the CHF, impacting trading strategies this quarter.
