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Thailand: BOT to enter extended pause – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Chua Han Teng notes that the Bank of Thailand surprised markets with a 25bps rate cut to 1.00% at its first 2026 meeting, following earlier easing since October 2024.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

The Bank of Thailand’s unexpected 25bps rate cut to 1.00% is a game changer for traders: it signals a shift in monetary policy that could ripple through regional markets. This move comes after a series of easing measures since October 2024, indicating that the central bank is prioritizing economic growth over inflation concerns. Traders should watch how this impacts the Thai baht and related assets, especially if the cut leads to increased capital outflows or shifts in investor sentiment. The immediate effect might be a weakening of the baht against major currencies, which could create opportunities for forex traders looking to capitalize on volatility. Look for key resistance levels in the baht around recent highs, as a break could signal further downside. On the flip side, this rate cut could also spur domestic consumption and investment, potentially stabilizing the economy in the long run. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases from Thailand that could provide insight into the effectiveness of this policy shift and its broader implications for Southeast Asian markets.

📮 Takeaway

Watch for the Thai baht’s reaction to the rate cut; a break below recent lows could signal further weakness, presenting trading opportunities in forex markets.

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