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investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Tariff uncertainty persists, China rises

Apple to move some Mac mini production to Houston in 2026 – WSJChina adds 20 Japanese firms to export control list, tightening dual-use tradeChina stocks jump as U.S. tariff ruling boosts export hopesUSD/CNY drops to 2½-year low as onshore yuan surgesChina holds loan prime rates steady as growth slows and yuan firmsPBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 6.9414 (vs. estimate at 6.9249)People’s Bank of China sets 1 and 5 year Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) unchangedBank of Korea meet Feb 26 – preview: To hold rates at 2.50% through 2026 (Reuters poll)Bessent led yen rate check amid Japan election volatility – NikkeiGoldman Sachs forecasts $5,400 gold on central bank demand and Fed cutsTrump considers new Section 232 tariffs after Supreme Court rulingAustralia January CPI preview: core inflation steady, electricity lifts headlineSwiss franc: Rabobank and UBS see CHF strength persisting (Rabo EUR/CHF 0.91 forecast)investingLive Americas FX news wrap 23 Feb: USD is mixed as markets react to tariff newsUBS targets USD 6,200 gold on Fed cuts and elevated geopolitical riskMajor US stock indices close lower as markets ponder uncertainty from tariffsAt a glance:Fresh Section 232 tariff talk adds marginal trade uncertaintyConfusion lingers over Trump’s 15% flat tariff vs 10% regulation levelPBOC holds LPRs steady at 3.0% (1Y) and 3.5% (5Y)China adds 20 Japanese firms to dual-use export watch listApple to shift some Mac Mini production to HoustonFedEx sues over Trump-era tariffsOnshore yuan hits strongest level in nearly three yearsChinese equities rally; USD slightly firmer; gold slips below 5200There was no shortage of headlines during the session, though market impact varied.Trade uncertainty ticked higher after reports that President Trump is considering expanded, sector-specific Section 232 tariffs. While the proposals add another layer of policy ambiguity, the broader trade framework remains fluid and the immediate market impact appears marginal for now. Confusion also persists around the administration’s touted 15% flat tariff, with reports suggesting regulations still reflect a 10% level.Japan is reportedly seeking assurances that the new tariff regime currently being drafted will not prove more punitive than existing arrangements, with other trading partners pursuing similar clarifications.In China, the People’s Bank of China left its one-year and five-year Loan Prime Rates unchanged at 3.0% and 3.5%, respectively. The steady policy stance underscores Beijing’s cautious balancing act between supporting growth and maintaining currency stability amid strengthening pressure.Meanwhile, China’s Commerce Ministry added 20 Japanese entities to an export control watch list, banning exports of dual-use items without licences, a move that adds to ongoing Japan–China tensions.Corporate headlines included Apple confirming it will move some Mac Mini production to Houston from Asia, part of a broader supply-chain diversification push. Separately, FedEx filed suit in the U.S. Court of International Trade seeking refunds for tariffs it argues were imposed illegally.In FX, China’s onshore yuan climbed to its strongest level against the dollar in nearly three years as traders returned from a nine-day holiday. The move was supported by renewed dollar softness and expectations that the U.S. Supreme Court’s tariff ruling could ease export pressures. Strong Q4 current account data also pointed to solid FX inflows.Chinese equities rose on the improved trade tone. The yen was volatile, with USD/JPY briefly reclaiming 155.00 before slipping back below that level. The broader dollar was slightly firmer overall.Gold eased back under 5200, consolidating after recent strength.
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

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💡 DMK Insight

China’s tightening of export controls and the U.S. tariff ruling are shaking up global trade dynamics right now. The addition of 20 Japanese firms to China’s export control list signals a more aggressive stance in dual-use technology, which could lead to increased volatility in related markets. For traders, this means keeping an eye on the USD/CNY pair, especially with the yuan hitting a 2½-year low. A weaker yuan could impact commodities and tech stocks, particularly those with significant exposure to China. If you’re trading in this space, watch for key levels around recent lows and highs in the USD/CNY to gauge market sentiment. On the flip side, while some might see this as a negative for global trade, it could also present buying opportunities in sectors that benefit from a more localized production strategy, like Apple’s move to Houston. This could shift supply chains and create new investment avenues, especially for U.S.-based tech firms. Keep an eye on how these geopolitical tensions evolve, as they could lead to sudden market shifts.

📮 Takeaway

Watch the USD/CNY levels closely; a breakout could signal further volatility in tech and commodity markets, especially with ongoing trade tensions.

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