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New Zealand’s Retail Sales climb 0.9% QoQ in Q4 vs. 0.6% expected

New Zealand’s Retail Sales, a measure of the country’s consumer spending, climbed 0.9% QoQ in the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2025 from the previous reading of 1.9%, according to the official data published by Statistics New Zealand on Monday. This figure came in above the market consensus of 0.6%.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

New Zealand’s retail sales growth of 0.9% in Q4 2025 is a positive signal for traders: This figure not only beats the consensus of 0.6% but also indicates resilient consumer spending despite potential economic headwinds. For forex traders, this could strengthen the NZD against major pairs, especially if the trend continues into the next quarter. Keep an eye on the NZD/USD; if it breaks above recent resistance levels, it could signal further bullish momentum. However, it’s worth noting that the previous reading was significantly higher at 1.9%, suggesting a deceleration in growth. Traders should consider this slowdown as a potential risk factor. If the upcoming data releases show further weakness, we might see a reversal in the NZD’s current strength. Watch for the next retail sales report and any comments from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand regarding monetary policy, as these could impact market sentiment and trading strategies significantly.

📮 Takeaway

Monitor the NZD/USD closely; a break above recent resistance could signal bullish momentum, but watch for signs of slowing growth in upcoming data.

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