DBS Group Research’s Radhika Rao highlights that Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas cut its policy rate by 25bps to 4.25%, citing weaker-than-expected recovery, softer confidence and delayed government spending.
💡 DMK Insight
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas just cut rates by 25bps, and here’s why that matters: This move signals a more cautious economic outlook, reflecting weaker recovery and declining confidence. For traders, this could mean a shift in sentiment towards Philippine assets, particularly the peso. Lower rates typically weaken a currency, so expect increased volatility in forex pairs involving PHP. Additionally, delayed government spending could further dampen growth prospects, impacting equities tied to infrastructure and consumer sectors. But don’t overlook the potential for a rebound if the government accelerates spending in response. Keep an eye on the 4.25% level; if the BSP hints at further cuts, it could push the peso lower, creating opportunities for short positions. Watch for reactions from institutional players who might adjust their strategies based on this rate change. The immediate focus should be on how the market digests this news in the coming days, especially during the next economic data releases.
📮 Takeaway
Monitor the PHP closely; if the peso weakens further, consider short positions against stronger currencies, especially if the BSP signals more cuts ahead.





