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Asia FX: Policy divergence shapes regional currencies – MUFG

MUFG analysts Lin Li, Michael Wan, Lloyd Chan and Khang Sek Lee highlight an Asia‑centric week dominated by geopolitics, inflation and monetary policy.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

Geopolitical tensions and inflation are shaping market sentiment this week, and here’s why that matters: With Asia at the center of these developments, traders need to keep a close eye on how these factors influence currency pairs, especially those involving the Japanese yen and Chinese yuan. Inflationary pressures could lead to shifts in monetary policy, impacting interest rates and subsequently affecting forex markets. If central banks respond aggressively to inflation, we might see volatility spike, particularly in emerging market currencies. Look for key economic indicators, such as inflation reports and central bank announcements, that could trigger significant moves. For instance, if Japan’s inflation continues to rise, the yen could weaken further against the dollar, creating potential shorting opportunities for traders. Conversely, any signs of stabilization could lead to a rebound. Watch the 145 level on USD/JPY as a critical resistance point; a break above could signal further downside for the yen. In this environment, staying agile and ready to react to news is crucial, as market sentiment can shift rapidly based on geopolitical developments.

📮 Takeaway

Monitor USD/JPY around the 145 level this week; geopolitical and inflation news could trigger significant volatility.

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