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CAD: Canada data seen mixed with softer CPI – NBC

National Bank Of Canada analysts Daren King and Jocelyn Paquet expect Canada’s January CPI to be unchanged on the month, pulling headline inflation down to 2.3% and trimming CPI-trim slightly, while CPI-median stays at 2.5%.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

Canada’s inflation outlook is stabilizing, and here’s why that matters for traders: With January’s CPI expected to hold steady, the headline inflation rate dropping to 2.3% could signal a more stable economic environment. This stability might influence the Bank of Canada’s monetary policy, potentially keeping interest rates steady, which is crucial for asset valuations. For traders, especially in the forex market, this could mean a more predictable Canadian dollar (CAD) performance against major pairs. If inflation remains contained, it could also reduce volatility in related assets, like commodities and equities tied to the Canadian economy. Watch for any shifts in market sentiment as these figures are released, particularly around key levels in CAD pairs. On the flip side, if inflation surprises to the upside, it could lead to a hawkish shift in policy, impacting market dynamics significantly. Traders should keep an eye on the January CPI release and be prepared for potential reactions in the CAD, especially if it deviates from expectations. Key levels to monitor would be the CAD’s performance against the USD and any correlations with commodities like oil, which Canada heavily relies on for exports.

📮 Takeaway

Watch for the January CPI release; a deviation from the expected 2.3% could trigger significant moves in CAD pairs.

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