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GBP: Uncertain rate cut timing – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s report provides insights on the British Pound (GBP) as the BoE’s next rate cut timing remains uncertain. It suggests that the statement from the BoE will likely reiterate that inflation is projected to fall back towards the target more quickly in the near term.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

The uncertainty around the BoE’s rate cut is a big deal for GBP traders right now. Societe Generale’s report hints that the BoE might maintain a cautious stance, emphasizing a quicker return to inflation targets. This could lead to volatility in GBP pairs, especially against the USD and EUR. If the BoE’s statement lacks clarity or suggests a prolonged period of high rates, we could see the GBP weaken further. Watch for key support levels around recent lows; a break could trigger a wave of selling. On the flip side, if the BoE surprises with a more aggressive tone, it could provide a short-term boost to the GBP. Traders should keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases and the BoE’s communication strategy. The next few weeks will be crucial, especially as we approach any potential rate decisions. Monitoring inflation metrics and market sentiment will be key to positioning effectively in this environment.

📮 Takeaway

Watch for the BoE’s upcoming statement; a lack of clarity could weaken GBP, while a surprise could lead to a short-term rally.

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