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US: Downside surprises in December payrolls and unemployment rate – UOB Group

The latest US Employment Situation report by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) last Fri (9 Jan) presented two main downside surprises as jobs growth in December missed expectations even though the bar was set low while unemployment rate also dipped below expectations.

🔗 Source

💡 DMK Insight

The December jobs report just dropped, and it’s a mixed bag that could shake markets. Job growth missed expectations, which raises concerns about the economy’s momentum, especially as we head into a critical earnings season. A weaker job market could lead to a more cautious approach from the Fed regarding interest rate hikes, impacting both equities and forex markets. If traders start pricing in a slower growth outlook, we might see a flight to safety, benefiting assets like gold or the USD against riskier currencies. Keep an eye on the unemployment rate, which dipped unexpectedly; this could signal underlying labor market strength that might not be reflected in job growth numbers. For those trading forex, watch how the USD reacts to this news. If it strengthens, it could push major pairs like EUR/USD lower. On the technical side, monitor key support levels around 1.05 for EUR/USD and resistance around 1.07. The next few days will be crucial as traders digest this data and adjust their positions accordingly.

📮 Takeaway

Watch for USD strength if traders react to the mixed jobs report; key levels to monitor are 1.05 support and 1.07 resistance for EUR/USD.

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