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Italy Q3 final GDP +0.1% vs +0.0% q/q prelim

Prior -0.1%GDP Y/Y +0.6% vs +0.4% expectedPrior +0.4%The final figures show an improvement but this is not going to change anything for the ECB as it’s more focused on inflation and has already stated many times that the current rate setting is appropriate.The agency said: “Domestic demand net of inventories and valuables contributed 0.2 percentage points to GDP growth in the third quarter: +0.1 from Household and Non Profit Institutions serving Households (NPISH) consumption, and +0.1 from gross fixed investments, while the contribution from public administration (PA) spending was zero. The contribution from net foreign demand was also positive (+0.5 percentage points), while the change in inventories and valuables had a negative impact (-0.6 percentage points).Positive quarterly quarter on quarter growth rates were recorded for the added value of agriculture (+0.8%) and services (+0.2%), while industry showed a negative trend (-0.3%).”
This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

đź”— Source

đź’ˇ DMK Insight

GDP growth came in better than expected, but here’s why it won’t sway the ECB’s stance: Despite a year-on-year GDP growth of +0.6% versus the +0.4% forecast, the European Central Bank (ECB) remains laser-focused on inflation control. The ECB has consistently communicated that its current interest rate policy is appropriate, indicating that even positive economic data isn’t enough to shift its course. Traders should note that while this growth figure is a positive sign for the Eurozone economy, it doesn’t translate into immediate monetary policy changes. The ECB’s commitment to tackling inflation means that any potential rate hikes or adjustments will likely depend more on inflation metrics than GDP growth. For those trading EUR/USD or related pairs, keep an eye on inflation reports and ECB communications. If inflation remains stubbornly high, the ECB might still consider tightening, regardless of GDP performance. Watch for key inflation data releases in the coming weeks, as they could provide clearer signals on future ECB actions and market direction.

đź“® Takeaway

Monitor upcoming inflation reports closely; they will be crucial for determining ECB policy shifts and market reactions.

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