The six-month annualised growth rate in the Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading Index, which indicates the likely pace of economic activity relative to trend three to nine months into the future, moved into slightly positive territory in October, lifting to +0.35% in October from +0.10% in September.
WPAC comments:Leading Index growth rate lifts to 0.35%, moving into slightly positive territory
Increase marks a step-up from around-trend readings over past six months
Recent surge in consumer expectations played a big role
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
💡 DMK Insight
The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading Index just turned positive, and here’s why that matters: A rise to +0.35% from +0.10% signals a potential uptick in economic activity over the next few months. For traders, this could mean a shift in sentiment towards riskier assets, particularly in equities and commodities. If this trend continues, we might see a stronger Australian dollar as investors anticipate better economic conditions. Keep an eye on the AUD/USD pair; a sustained rally could push it above key resistance levels. However, don’t overlook the flip side—this positive growth could also lead to tighter monetary policy if inflationary pressures build. Traders should monitor the Reserve Bank of Australia’s stance closely. If they signal a shift towards rate hikes, it could dampen the current bullish sentiment. Watch for any significant moves in the index over the coming months, as sustained growth could lead to broader market implications, especially in sectors sensitive to economic cycles.
📮 Takeaway
Watch the AUD/USD closely; a sustained rise in the Leading Index could push it above key resistance levels, signaling a bullish trend.




