Prior +3.0%HICP +3.2% vs +3.2% y/y prelimPrior +3.0%Core annual inflation is seen at 2.5% in October, slightly higher than the 2.4% reading in September. So alongside Germany, the price pressures here are still making a case for the ECB to stay on hold through to year-end.
This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.
๐ก DMK Insight
Inflation data just came in, and itโs a mixed bag for traders: core inflation nudged up to 2.5%, which could keep the ECB on hold. With Germany’s HICP at 3.2%, the pressure is on for the ECB to maintain its current stance, especially as markets are already pricing in a cautious approach. This means traders should keep an eye on the euro, as any shifts in ECB policy could lead to volatility. If inflation continues to rise, we might see a shift in sentiment, especially if it breaks above key levelsโwatch for resistance around the 1.10 mark against the dollar. But here’s the flip side: if inflation stabilizes or declines, it could reinforce the ECB’s wait-and-see approach, potentially leading to a weaker euro. Traders should monitor upcoming economic indicators closely, as they could provide clues about future ECB decisions and market reactions.
๐ฎ Takeaway
Watch for euro resistance at 1.10; inflation trends could dictate ECB policy shifts and market volatility.





